Daily Ambush – NFL Week 5 Recap
You all know about The Ambush, my weekly NFL article that breaks down the NFL DFS main slate of games on Sunday’s, but now you are getting a daily dose of the Ambush as I feel it’s necessary and I wanted to give a quick look ahead with a slight look back as we head into a pretty cool slate of games based on the scheduling.
NFL Showdown – Week 5 MNF
NFL Showdown Preview for MNF
The Ambush – Week 5 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
4th and Goal Week 5 DFS
Quarterbacks Watson – Bounce back spot for him at home. He’s going to be pretty high Owned but in a game that’s expected to shoot out it’s worth the price. Jackson – Always Love Jackson In spots where he can use his legs. Winston – Finding his groove under Arians. Godwin has been a monster, and do has Evans. As long as New Orleans can keep pace we’ll see 40+ attempts. Daniel – Cheap option against a bad defense. England games are usually underwhelming, BUT if he can pick apart the Vikings he can do it against Oakland. Flacco – sneaky play here. Could put up some big numbers playing from behind. Running backs Zeke – Smash spot against a bad run defense. Cook – he’s been in the perfect line in every single week except week 3. Just keep firing him up. Fournette – Getting a ton of touches while mixing in 3rd downs as well. Way too cheap on FanDuel. DJ – He’ll see double digit targets this week with Kirk out. I like the play more on DK with the PPR, but I do think he scores. Wide receivers Hopkins/Jones – DUH Tate – Min price against a team he’s smashed in the past. Should fall right into this offense as a top 3 weapon. Godwin – Destroying all DB’s right now. Thomas – Target monster who Teddy will lean on Sunday. He’s had some big games against Tampa Sanders – Love this play to get some late points. He’s been great this year, seeing 7 or more targets in all but 1 game. Diontae Johnson – Rudolph’s favorite target. He’s cheap and will be 6 or more targets. Tight Ends Hooper – 18 targets over his last 2 games. Ryan leans on him heavily. Andrews – Pittsburgh still can’t cover TE’s Graham – more target share with Adams out. Knox – Favorite play on the board. Tennessee kid playing back home. Will score! Defense NE Jets Philly Minnesota
NFL DFS – Week 5 WR Report
Wide Receivers DeAndre Hopkins, HOU (DK – $7,800/FD – $8,500) After three straight short games (5/40, 6/67, and 5/41), Hopkins looks poised to post an impact game vs. the Falcons. Over his 2017 and 2018 seasons, he scored 24 TDs over 31 games while averaging 29.97 Fantasy points per game. He failed to score over 15.0 Fantasy points in PPR leagues in six contests. Over this 31-game stretch, Houston gave him double-digit targets in 22 contests. This season WRs have 45 catches for 608 yards and seven TDs on 61 targets against the Falcons. They showed the most risk vs. the WR position in Week 4 (TEN – 11/206/3). Nelson Agholor (8/107/1) and A.J. Brown (3/94/2) had the top two games vs. Atlanta in 2019. CB Isaiah Oliver will have his hands full after starting the year with WRs scoring three TDs on him with close to 200 yards. For me, the daily game show in Week 5 begins here. Possible ten catches for 150 yards with multiple TDs. Julio Jones, ATL (DK – $7,700/FD – $8,200) Jones had a tough time getting open last week (4/52 on seven targets), which came after two elite games (5/106/2 and 8/128/1). The Falcons gave him 30 targets over the first three weeks while starting the year with four TDs in three games. In two games already in 2019, the Texans struggled to defend WRs (NO – 19/250/1 and LAC – 19/256/2). Overall, WRs have 62 catches for 778 yards and four TDs vs. Houston with two WR1s having big games (Michael Thomas – 10/123 and Keenan Allen – 13/183/2). CB Lonnie Johnson has yet to give up a TD while having the size (6’2” and 215 lbs.) to match up with Jones. Houston drafted Johnson in the second round in the 2019 NFL Draft. The weakness at CB in the Texans’ defense comes from Johnathan Joseph, who may see more of Calvin Ridley. Not a slam dunk with Atlanta struggling to pass block at times in 2019. Game score should be favorable to the passing game, and Matt Ryan threw for over 300 yards in each game in 2019. Davante Adams, GB (DK – $7,600/FD – $8,000) The Eagles didn’t have a player on their roster to cover Adams in Week 4 (10/180), but a toe injury cut short his day and probably cost the Packers a chance at a win. Over four games, Adams doesn’t have a TD while averaging nine targets per game. He’s already missed two days of practice putting his playing time at risk on Sunday. Turf toe injuries can be big problems for RBs and WRs. Dallas ranks fourth in the NFL defending WRs (50/541/1 on 81 targets) with no WR gaining over 100 yards receiving. Too much risk with his health plus this matchup isn’t favorable. Keenan Allen, LAC (DK – $7,300/FD – $7,500) Despite being the highest-scoring WR after four games (34/452/3 on 47 targets), Allen has the fourth-highest salary at WR at DraftKings in Week 5. His best two games (8/123/1 and 13/183/2) came at home. The Chargers remain banged up at WR with no real option to steal targets at TE. Allen played well in 2018 at home vs. the Broncos (9/89/1). Denver currently ranks third in the league defending WRs (41/500/2 on 62 targets) while facing OAK, CHI, GB, and JAC. Two WRs (Tyrell Williams – 6/105/1 and Marquez Valdes-Scantling – 6/99/1) played well against the Broncos. CB Chris Harris has a chance to shallow Allen in this matchup. Denver has been more willing to move Harris around in coverage in 2019. I’m leaning on the fade side, which is also helped by game score projecting to be on the lower side. Mike Evans, TB (DK – $7,100/FD – $7,700) CB Marcus Peters held Evans in check for most of their game in Week 4, but one missed step led to a 67-yard TD. Evans finished with four catches for 89 yards and a TD on seven targets. His success over the previous two games (12/279/4) pushes him to fourth in WR scoring in PPR leagues. Overall, he averages 8.75 targets per game with a low catch rate (51.4). In 2018, Evans played well in his game in New Orleans (7/147/1) with a step back in value at home (4/86). The Saints struggled with WRs in Week 1 (HOU – 14/216/3), Week 2 (LAR – 10/227/1), and Week 3 (SEA – 19/2999/1), leading to the 27th ranking in WR defense. Three WRs have over 100 yards receiving against New Orleans (DeAndre Hopkins – 8/111/2, Cooper Kupp – 5/120, and Tyler Lockett – 11/154/1). Offenses have been picking on Marshon Lattimore out of the gate (nine targets per game). He’ll allow big plays and TDs plus a high-catch rate. Evans is viable as he’ll most likely draw single coverage, giving him a chance to hit some long throws and a TD. Chris Godwin, TB (DK – $6,900/FD – $7,800) The Rams had no answer for Godwin last week, which led to an impact game (12/172/2). In Week 2, also on the road, he delivered his first great game (8/121/1). Godwin is on pace for 92 catches for 1,544 yards and 16 TDs, but he’s only averaging 8.5 targets start. He entered last week’s game with a hip issue that appeared to be minor, heading into the weekend. The same injury has him on the injury report again. CB Eli Apple hasn’t been challenged so far in 2019 while allowing a low completion rate and no TDs. Playing well, but a repeat showing would be a lot to ask. Amari Cooper, OAK (DK – $6,800/FD – $7,900) Over four games, Cooper has been a much better start at home (6/106/1 and 6/88/2) than on the road (4/44/1 and 5/48). He’s on pace for 84 catches for 1,158 yards and 16 TDs while averaging only 7.25 targets per game. The Packers have been exceptional defending WRs in 2019 (28/462/2 on 64 targets), which ranks
NFL Week 5 – DFS TNF Showdown
Picks and bets for the TNF Showdown between the Rams and Seahawks
NFL Week 5 DFS – RB Report
Running Backs Christian McCaffrey, CAR (DK – $8,700/FD – $9,100) After four games, McCaffrey is on pace for 2,516 combined yards with 16 TDs and 100 catches while being on the field for 272 of 277 plays (98.2 percent) run
NFL Week 5 DFS – QB Report
Shawn Childs previews all the QB’s in action this week for DFS
Week 4 NFL Primetime – SNF/MNF
Preview both the Sunday Night and Monday Night primetime games with Showdown and Two game slate DFS plays.
4th and Goal Week 4
Quarterbacks Jones – Great underpriced spot for him this week. I think this game is quietly high scoring with Washington keeping it close. He’s going to use his legs, which gives him a nice floor at his price. Wilson – Arizona is giving up the most rushing yards to quarterbacks at around 7 ypc. Kyle Allen just destroyed this secondary last week, you don’t think Wilson does the same? I’ll be listening to Ciara with a million in my account Goff– Great spot for the Rams air attack this week. We’ve seen it already this year against Tampa. Goff and Kupp go bonkers this week. Murray – Eh I still think he looks like he’s playing peewee football, but yea it’s a good spot. Will run around a bit, probably get in the box with his legs, and hit Kirk with a 35 yarder. Byrd will be inactive though, so he does lose a downfield weapon. Running Backs Henry – Smash spot against a small defense. Tennessee runs the ball even when they’re down by 20 points trying to put together a comeback. He’ll see a ton of touches. Thompson – Loooooooove this spot for CT. Tons of targets, Scary Terry is banged up, and a paced up game. Ingram/Chubb – If you play Ingram, you’re running it back with Chubb. Both downhill runners who should see a bit more lanes with Cleveland having their weapons outside and Baltimore getting the edge with Jackson. Jacobs – The rookie has been bottled up the last 2 games, but this is a nice bounce back spot here for him. I expect Oakland to win this game, and do it on the shoulders of the kid. Michel – If Burkhead is out I’m lovin’ this spot. It’ll bump his touches by a bit, and what will feel like a playoff game for both teams. Wide Receivers Julio – Will see Malcolm Butler who he torched in the Super Bowl. This secondary struggles vs big physical receivers as well. He’s a must play imo, he has a monster day. Allen – Every single throw from Rivers is filtering to Allen. Mike Williams will be inactive, so even more volume for him. Miami should keep it relatively close, which will keep the targets coming. Watkins – Anyone in the slot against Detroit. Slay may be out for Detroit as well. Diggs – He has torched this team in the past, and will see Amukamara this week. He’s average 15.2 fantasy points against Chicago dating back to last year, with Minnesota throws shouts 35% more as an underdog. Sneaky massive upside spot. Golladay – He’s averaged 18.1 fantasy points at home over his last 5 games. KC is in the bottom 5 against WR over their last 10 games giving up over 165 yards and 1.1 td’s to WR1. Kupp – Goff’s favorite target. Shepard had a monster game against this same defense, and Goff has targeted Kupp 9 times or more in each of the last 3 games. Tight End Engram – Play him every single week. Dissley – Yea, Arizona against the TE we know. Ebron – Hilton looks like he’s out, this is the game he scored twice. Defense Cleveland – cheap, can get a pick 6 off Jackson. Miami – HAVE YOU SEEN HOW MANY INJURIES SAN DIEGO HAS OFFENSIVELY?!?!?!? Minnesota