NFL DFS Week 7 – QB Report
Quarterbacks Deshaun Watson, HOU (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,300) After two straight impact games (46.00 and 34.20 Fantasy points), Watson pushed his way to the top of the QB scoring list. Last he struggled to make big plays in the
The Ambush (Weekly) Recap – Week 6
The main slate from Week Six is in the books and while the AMBUSH didn’t hit for 5 figures this week there were some screenshots I saw within the FullTime Family that put together some very good days. With the paylines being fairly low around the sites it was also a profitable week all around as I took the “lock Diggs TD” call and put it to good use on my main lineup which carried and helped a bunch of just average performances elsewhere. Here’s my harsh grading on myself from Week 6 and The AMBUSH. THE AMBUSH Plays The CORE plays for building a lineup in Week 6 (again, not all should be forced into the same lineup necessarily, but they are foundation calls for building your 5 CORE lineups). 1) BAKERS REVENGE This gets a B. The entire reason I was on the Browns-Seahawks game was because of Baker and the Browns offense. If they had played another stinker game then nothing in this game would have benefited the way that it did. The first step each week when doing analysis on games for me is to determine if the game as a whole is going to be a good game flow for both sides or not. If it is then there should be points in the game and we can then decipher how the variance of where those points will come from based on match-ups should be. Getting the Browns offense right was the first step in going to this game and that started with Baker Mayfield, who played through an injury — but still killed himself with a couple costly turnovers. 2) KELCE PAYS OFF This gets an F. No slicing and dicing this. Was it a call that was “right” or “made sense”, sure. But this isn’t a participation trophy award of any sorts. I liked Hill coming back for Kelce and obviously that turned out to be just being cute and overthinking things. Hooper killed Kelce. 3) BECKHAMM, WOODS, LOCKETT UP This gets a C from me. Odell Beckham was fed the ball enough by Baker Mayfield to be a good core play, Tyler Lockett had just an average game and missed a TD late by an inch (literally) as it was called a TD and then reviewed and pulled back as he was down just short and Robert Woods got the Rams only TD rushing the ball on the first drive of the game. Unfortunately for Woods, he never got the ball again, and if you had all three and didn’t put Diggs in your FLEX (Luckily, I did) then you likely hurt yourself at WR. 4) PIVOT OFF HIGH VEGAS TOTALS This ultimately gets an D. Why? Because both the Texans-Chiefs and Falcons-Cardinals games produced but specifically the Falcons-Cardinals one got there late with Hooper paying off big time, Matty Ice doing what he was expected to do and the game having well over 60 points total in it. Of the the three games that I offered as pivots, two of them were the right spots (Jets-Cowboys, hey, I gave you that Jets win in last weeks’ article as well!) and Seahawks-Browns being very good games. The 49ers obviously DOMINATED the Rams offense which made that a bad spot to target. I am VERY harsh on my own grading for the AMBUSH core plays. After they were VERY good in the first month of the season I am not going to participation trophy myself here. Now on with the rest of the breakdown. QB RESULTS Highest scoring QB’s were: Watson, Ryan, Jackson, Wilson, Murray, Cousins…. All of whom were 28 points or higher on FD and the next best player was 22.46 points (Baker Mayfield). Patrick Mahomes Baker Mayfield Russell Wilson Matt Ryan If you had any of these Quarterbacks you didn’t lose because of them and I noted how Mahomes was not in play on FD due to his price tag. RB RESULTS Highest scoring RB’s were: Chubb, Freeman, D.Johnson, Carson, Zeke, Hyde, Sanders. So this was a rough spot for me this week in the breakdown and who knew the Hyde and Go Zeke play would finally pay off a week later…. Mark Ingram II Derrick Henry LeVeon Bell LaTavius Murray Zeke Elliott Dalvin Cook Derrick Henry did what Derrick Henry does. If you recall, I have pretty much been an anti D-Henry person since he came into the league and it was games like yesterday that justify my hatred for the man in DFS. Latavius Murray’s 52 yard screen TD that was called back due to a hold down field put me on full tilt as he still hit good value on DK even without that. Overall, Nick Chubb wound up being one RB that you sneakily wanted and I was on the other spots in that game. WR RESULTS Highest scoring WR’s were: Diggs, McLaurin, Hill, Robbie Anderson, Jeffery, Jaron Brown DeAndre Hopkins … Duh Robert Woods … My favorite WR this week to “get his”, probably wont end as the #1 overall scoring WR, but for his price you’ll be VERY pleased with his results. Odell Beckham Jr & Tyler Lockett … I’ll play Beckham & Lockett or some form of Beckham, Landry, Lockett, Metcalf together only. Meaning that if I have one player from this game I will have two. Amari Cooper Julio Jones Stefon Diggs: Want a lock TD? Here’s your guy. OTHERS TO CONSIDER Jarvis Landry Larry Fitzgerald Antonio Callaway DK Metcalf TIGHT ENDS Highest scoring TE’s were: Hooper, Kittle, Seals-Jones, Cook, Andrews Travis Kelce Austin Hooper Zachary Ertz DEFENSES Highest scoring DEF were: Broncos, Saints, Redskins, 49ers Baltimore Ravens New Orleans Saints Tennessee Titans Just play the Saints every week, and trust me, okay? WEEK 7 FIRST GLANCE Raiders-Packers: Sneaky shootout potential Rams-Falcons: ………. Hey, Jared Goff chalk week. Jaguars-Bengals: Yay. Fournette chalk. Yay. Bengals chalk. Yay. Vikings-Lions: ….. Texans-Colts: I miss my Andrew
Week 6 – MNF Showdown
MNF Showdown Cheat Sheet for Lions vs Packers The Lions and Packers meet for the first time this year and the Packers are slight -3.5 favorites at home. Both teams have played well defensively but the two main targets to play 100% tonight for me are Kerryon Johnson (RB) and Marques Valdes-Scantling (WR). I like the Packers to win and cover the -3.5 by a small margin. THE PLAYER POOL 5 of these guys minimum on every lineup … pricing indicates their FLEX price Aaron Rodgers – $11,600 Aaron Jones – $11,400 Matthew Stafford – $9,600 Kerryon Johnson – $8,600 Marques Valdes-Scantling – $7,800 Jimmy Graham – $7,000 Marvin Jones – $6,800 Matt Prater – $3,600 Packers Defense – $5,000 FADE: Kenny Golladay – DET OFF THE WALL SLEEPERS Jake Kumerow – $2,800 J.D. McKissic – $1,000 CAPTAIN’S CHOICE Kerryon Johnson – DET MNF-TNF Slate Considerations Kerryon Johnson is a top target for the MNF-TNF slate and I would give a lot of consideration to Marques Valdes-Scantling as well. I believe both score tonight.
NFL Week 6 Primetime
This article will cover the 2 game Prime-Time slate for Week 6 and also some showdown plays for both games. Check back on Monday for a full MNF Showdown article. Two game Slate: Pittsburgh at LA Chargers Detroit at Green Bay The better game is the MNF game in terms of keeping things close but with Davante Adams out again for the Packers we could see limited upside in scoring potential there. My optimal build this week on the short two gamer is actually a full LA Chargers stack with one offs around that. They should drop 30 in a good bounce back game at home vs Pittsburgh who is lifeless IMO. Quarterbacks Phil Rivers Matt Stafford Running Backs Kerryon Johnson Aaron Jones Melvin Gordon … This is a great game to get Gordon back involved for the Chargers. James Conner Wide Receivers Keenan Allen JuJu Smith-Schuster – He scores a big long TD tonight. Feel like he is a MUST OWN on the SNF Showdown slate. Marquez Valdes-Scantling Mike Williams Jake Kumerow – Value Tight Ends Jimmy Graham Hunter Henry – Back tonight and only 3500 on DK Defense LA Chargers Green Bay
4th and Goal Week 6
Quarterbacks Watson/Mahomes – Shoot out game with both guys being heavily owned. One of these guys will probably end up being top QB on the slate, but I do like Watson a tad more. Cousins – Attack Philly through the air. Vikings play much better at home, and expect some bad blood against these two teams. Philly’s secondary is bad, which will help Cousins check down and find both Vikings receivers for scores. Jackson – Nice play off the Mahomes/Watson chalk with same upside. Jackson will use his leads til they get inside the 5 and hand it to Ingram. He’s coming off 2 subpar games, and should explode this week. Goff – Will be in his hands today with Gurley out. They’ll use the underneath routes as their run plays often, which should give Goff 40+ attempts. Running backs Kamara – injury popped up this week but Jacksonville can’t stop a single running back. Make sure he’s in though. Fournette – New Orleans does have a very good front 7, but at his price and how involved he is in this offense I’ll take my chance. Ingram – Gets all the touches inside the 5 and and 70% inside the 10. Will score probably twice this week. Howard – he is a Viking killer. Scores almost every time he plays against Minnesota. Hyde – One way to get some exposure in this game and fading the QB’s. Fuller was twice stopped at the 1 last week, which could happen again. Easy money for Hyde. Wide Receivers Thielen – Attack Philly secondary especially when They’re on the road. Kupp – A LOT A LOT A LOT A LOT of targets incoming Fuller – Donkey play as told to me by Renner. Still like it. Cooper – Been so dominate lately. Jets front 7 will try to do all they can to stop Zeke, they’ll need coop today. McLaurin – Healthy and will be fed the ball early and often with Case back. Tight End Hooper – TE’s vs Arizona still a thing? Kelce – Shoot out Walker – Denver another team that cannot cover athletic TE Defense Baltimore Minnesota Tennessee
The Ambush – Week 6 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
NFL DFS Week 6 – WR Report
Wide Receivers Julio Jones, ATL (DK – $8,000/FD – $8,500) Jones was a no show vs. the Texans (3/42 on seven targets) while coming out of the game with a hip issue. The Falcons had him on the field for
NFL Week 6 – RB Report
Running Backs Ezekiel Elliott, DAL (DK – $8,500/FD – $8,500) Five games into the 2019 season, Elliott ranks 11th at the RB position in PPR leagues with a steady flow of boring games (13.90, 20.00, 15.90, 17.50, and 17.10 Fantasy
Week 6 TNF Showdown
Preview the TNF slate for the Showdown as Week 6 kicks off between the Giants and the Patriots
NFL DFS Week 6 – QB Report
Over the previous two games, Mahomes struggled to deliver TDs (1) with regression in his completion rate (56.8). He came out of last week’s game with an ankle issue that may limit his mobility and ability to throw on the run