NFL WR Report – Week 14
Wide Receivers Michael Thomas, NO (DK – $8,300/FD – $8,600) Thomas picked the wrong time to deliver his lowest output (6/48 on eight targets) of the season. Week 13 tends to be the final week of the regular season in
NFL Running Back DFS Report – Week 14
Running Backs Christian McCaffrey, CAR (DK – $10,300/FD – $11,000) The Panthers struggled to run the ball over the last two games (49/186/1 – 3.80 yards per rush), which led to a short showing in Week 13 by McCaffrey (17.20
NFL TNF Showdown: Cowboys vs Bears
WEEK 14 Kicks off with the Cowboys and Bears both off a full week of rest from their Thanksgiving games and both being in spots where if they lose this game their playoff hopes are impacted. For Chicago they are
NFL Quarterback Report – Week 14
Quarterbacks Lamar Jackson, BAL (DK – $7,400/FD – $9,000) Even with a tougher matchup in Week 13 vs. the 49ers, Jackson still scored 24.35 Fantasy points, which was better than the fifth-highest scoring average for the QB position in 2019.
NFL Primetime – Week 13
NFL Week 13 Primetime games Patriots at Texans – SNF Vikings at Seahawks – MNF Injury News: Adam Thielen ruled out MNF QUARTERBACK DeShaun Watson … I am going very contrarian on the two game slate at QB because I feel Watson will account for 3 TD, one of which will be a rushing touchdown in a better than projected SNF game. The chalk pick should be either Cousins or Wilson but I don’t love the passing games on MNF believe it or not. RUNNING BACK Dalvin Cook … Best player on the slate, lock him in. Chris Carson James White … Always used more in the receiving game and he’ll get 5 catches, so he’s a nice DK play WIDE RECEIVER DeAndre Hopkins … Will be much lower than he should be. We’re looking at a 15-20% Nuk on a 2 game slate Tyler Lockett Philip Dorsett Stefon Diggs Laquon Treadmill … More of a Showdown pick TIGHT END Irv Smith Ben Watson DEFENSE Seattle Houston
4th and Goal NFL WEEK 13
Quarterbacks Jackson – Always top 2 every single week. San Fran’s defense in good, but they haven’t faced a quarterback like Jackson yet. Rodgers – Some serious weather in this game, so we have to keep an eye on it. This is a smash spot for a bounce back game and a discount double check. Winston – 8 games over 300 yards, but he does struggle at times against zone coverage. Still, a good spot for pass happy Tampa. Dalton – Welcome back red rocket! Dalton slides back into fantasy relevance and in a decent spot Running backs Barkley – Bad weather plays a roll in game plan. Should get 20+ carries Bell – Hasn’t had a monster game yet this year, but he has been consistent. Nice spot against a bad Cincy defense. Henry – every single week, insane numbers late in the season in his career. Gordon – Good spot to get 4pm exposure. He’s cheap, and has seen 20+ carries in 2 out of the last 3 Wide Receivers Adams – weather in this spot again, but definitely a smash spot Boyd – Love that Dalton is back, should see a good amount of targets Shepard – No Engram or Tate, slides into the slot role Chark – Double digit targets with Foles Moore – Another Guy with a ton of targets. Still under 7k on FanDuel Tight Ends Kelce – Default top guy Doyle Ertz Defense Browns Panthers Baltimore
The Ambush – Week 13 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
NFL DFS Tight Ends Report – Week 13
Tight Ends Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $7,200/FD – $7,100) Despite underperforming his 2018 resume (103/1336/10), Kelce still ranks at the top of the TE end list after 13 weeks. He averages 15.48 FPPG in PPR leagues while still looking for an impact game to support his high salary. His opportunity and success are trending forward over the past three games (7/72, 7/75/1, and 7/95/1 on 26 targets), which is almost a similar path from Week 2 to Week 4 (7/107/1, 7/89, and 7/85 on 25 targets). Kelce struggled for the most part at home (13.24 FPPG). His best game of the season (26.70 Fantasy points) did come against Oakland. The Raiders are 27th defending TEs (14.07 – 51/584/8 on 84 targets) with three teams scoring over 20.0 Fantasy points. Mahomes should play great this week, which makes Kelce one of his top options to produce a big game. In my thoughts with a chance at multiple TDs and over 100 yards receiving. Zach Ertz, PHI (DK – $6,700/FD – $6,900) After three big games (9/103/1, 9/94, and 12/91/1 on 36 targets), Ertz moved to second in TE scoring (14.29) with a chance to gain over 1,000 yards and 100-plus catches for the second straight season. Over the first eight games, he scored only one TD with no games of value in the daily market. He enters this week with a shoulder issue while expecting to play. Miami is league average defending TEs (11.83 FPPG – 48/555/2 on 67 targets). Their only poor showing defending the TE came in Week 1 (14/175/1) vs. the Ravens. The Eagles don’t have great options at WR, plus their RBs don’t catch a ton of balls. Ertz should be active with a chance at a TD, but his salary now commands 26-plus Fantasy points to be in play. Tempting for sure based on his recent play and his matchup may spark the dying, passing game in Philly. George Kittle, SF (DK – $6,100/FD – $7,000) Kittle returned in a big way in Week 13 (6/129/1 on six targets) highlighted by 61-yard TD in the second half. He played well in four of his previous five games (6/70/1, 8/13, 6/86, and 6/79/1), but Kittle averages only seven targets per game. The Ravens worked their way to fifth in TE defense (9.25 FPPG – 43/467/2 on 62 targets). They’ve held TEs to fewer than 12.0 Fantasy points in seven straight games and in nine of 11 contests in 2019. More fade than excitement in Week 13. Hunter Henry, LAC (DK – $5,800/FD – $6,600) Henry is priced like a top tier TE, but his play has been only steady over his previous four games (4/47, 7/84, 4/30/1, and 6/69). He flashed in Week 6 (8/100/2) in his first game after four weeks with an injury with reasonable success the following week (6/97). Over his last six games, he caught 35 balls for 427 yards and three TDs on 49 targets suggesting that he’s the third option in the Chargers’ passing game behind Keenan Allen and the RB position. Denver ranks 22nd in TE defense (12.36 FPPG – 59/590/2 on 81 targets) with one disaster game (MIN – 10/115/1). This week’s game looks to fall in the grinder category, thus limited the upside in passing chances for the Chargers’ receivers. Possible midteen Fantasy points while falling short of a winning game for his salary. Mark Andrews, BAL (DK – $5,700/FD – $6,500) It’s interesting to see many Fantasy owners wanting to micromanage the TE position with Andrews after some short outings over the last couple of months. What they don’t see is a minefield of emptiness at the position while Andrews has the skill set to be explosive if game flow breaks his way. The Ravens continue to rotate in two other TEs, which does hurt his targets if game score moves in the wrong direction. Over the past five games, Andrew has three low output games (2/39, 2/21, and 2/45) while showing upside in two starts (6/53/2 and 4/75/1). His best value came over the first two games (8/108/1 and 8/112/1) of the year. The 49ers have the second-best TE defense (6.56 FPPG – 37/246/2 on 54 targets), with only one team having success (8/62/1). Not the right kind of play in the daily games, but I would still play him in the season-long contests. Darren Waller, OAK (DK – $5,500/FD – $6,100) The league has caught up to Waller over his last few games. Over his first six games, he caught 44 of 50 targets for 485 yards and two TDs with two impact games (13/134 and 7/126/2). The Raiders have only looked his way 28 times in the past five contests, which led to 15 catches for 222 yards and a TD. The Chiefs held him to six catches for 63 yards on seven targets in Week 2 when his star was rising. Kansas City fell to 28th in TE defense (14.42 FPPG – 72/666/3 on 107 targets) after showing more risk defending TEs in four of their past six games (9/108, 7/56/1, 7/66/1, and 7/77). The Chiefs should score in this game, helping the passing opportunity for their players. Possible TD with an on the field battle with Kelce for the top TE of the day award. Greg Olsen, CAR (DK – $4,400/FD – $5,100) The Panthers have included Olsen in their game plan over the previous three games (8/98, 5/57, and 5/44), making him serviceable again in the season-long games. His only two TDs came in Week 3 when he had his best game (6/75/2). Olsen is on pace for 65 passes for 771 yards and three TDs. The Redskins fell to 24th in TE defense (12.92 FPPG – 53/591/5 on 74 targets) after fading vs. TEs in the previous two games (NYJ – 6/129/2 and DET – 3/31/1). His lower salary ($4,400) helps, but Olsen can’t be in play without better value scoring TDs. I’ll take the under in his
The Ambush – Thanksgiving DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
Thanksgiving DFS Podcast
The Dawghouse man himself Dennis Roy and Steve Renner from the AMBUSH joined up for a rare DFS NFL podcast with plenty of thoughts on the previous week, lineup sharing or overlay of lineups and the upcoming three game NFL DFS slate on Thanksgiving.