4th and Goal NFL DFS Plays
Quarterback Watson – Tennessee has been terrible against the deep ball and Houston has arguable the best combo in the league. Tannehill – Love him this week especially with AJ Brown Murray – Sneaky Play with how bad he’s been. Cleveland secondary has been destroyed recently. Ryan – Under the radar Shoot out game Running back Carson – Chalk Play in a smash spot and cheap. Love Carson this week Fournette – Said all he wants for Christmas is to score 3 td’s for his fantasy owners……well thanks LF Henry – every single week, even with one good wheel Laird – Volume is key for him. Will get a good amount of targets and carries Gurley – Dallas has struggled against the run and dare I say Gurley has looked himself? Wide receivers Godwin – No Evans…..can we please get 15 targets Winston?!?!? Hopkins – I liked this more when Fuller was expected to be out, but looks like he’s in. Bad secondary means huge game for Nuk Parker – Big extension and even more to prove for Parker. Great spot for a huge game Slayton – Has played really week with whoever is under center. 10+ target floor today Julio – Wow what happened to him. Price drop against a defense that are down 2 of their best players Samuel – This game is going to be the highest scoring today Tight end Ertz – Best Play here Higbee Fant Ian Thomas Defense New England Washington Detroit Tampa
The Ambush – Week 15 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.
NFL DFS Tight End Report – Week 15
Tight Ends Travis Kelce, KC (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,300) Kelce had his best game (7/70/1) of his career vs. the Patriots, but he failed to be an impact TE option based on his higher salary. His path points to
Fantasy Football: Receiving Yards Allowed Per Position
This Fantasy Football tool shows you how well (or how poorly) each pass defense is performing against each position this NFL season.
Week 15 – TNF Showdown
Week 15 kicks off on Thursday night with the Baltimore Ravens hosting the New York Jets on Thursday Night football. The game will be free of precipitation but cold as temps will be in the mid 30’s in Baltimore but
NFL DFS Running Back Report – Week 15
Running Backs Christian McCaffrey, CAR (DK – $10,000/FD – $10,400) With no touchdowns in his stat line over the previous two games, McCaffrey posted only two steady games (17.20 and 24.50 Fantasy points) despite plenty of chances in the passing
NFL DFS Quarterback Report – Week 15
Quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes, KC (DK – $7,100/FD – $8,300) Mahomes hasn’t been seen at the top QB rankings at the end of any of the previous three weeks. Over this span, he posted 18.00, 21.25, and 17.75 Fantasy points while combining for 730 yards with four TDs and two Ints. Mahomes scored over 30.0 Fantasy points in four contests (31.10, 37.15, 31.60, and 34.30) in 2019 while leaving his Week 7 matchup vs. the Broncos after completing ten of 11 passes for 76 yards with one TD ad two Ints. Denver slipped to 6th in QB defense (17.52 FPPG) after struggling a bit against Deshaun Watson (33.00 Fantasy points). Only one other QB scored over 22.0 Fantasy points. They allow 6.8 yards per pass attempt with QB tossing 15 TDs. Not as sexy as Fantasy owners expected in 2019, but he still has upside in his receiving core even with a below-par matchup. Russell Wilson, SEA (DK – $7,000/FD – $8,100) There is no doubt that Wilson is a great QB who knows how to win late in games when the ball is in his hands. As the Fantasy calendar turned to the championship rounds, a big game was a must. Unfortunately, the Rams dominated the lineup scrimmage on passing downs, which led to no TDs for Wilson with 273 combined yards. LA sacked him five times while forcing him to run for his life on many other plays. Despite ranking fourth in QB scoring coming into the week, Wilson has not been an edge in Fantasy points six of his previous seven games (17.75, 17.50, 19.90, 13.50, 20.30, and 14.30). His high ranking falls on five qualify games (28.20, 45.40, 32.60, 31.85, and 43.00 Fantasy points) over the first nine weeks. Carolina sits 10th in QB defense (19.18 FPPG) with no team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy from the QB position. The Panthers allowed over 300 yards passing in six of their previous nine games with WRs delivering five big games (17/277/2, 23/296, 16/244, 19/283/1, and 14/271/2). Wilson is due for a big game, and I expect Carolina to at least push the issue on the scoring board. Possible 300-plus yards with a floor of three TDs. Jameis Winston, TB (DK – $6,900/FD – $8,200) Over the last 11 games, Winston passed for over 300 yards in nine contests with 24 TDs and 20 Ints. His best value came in three games (380/3, 385/4, and 456/5), putting him on pace for 5,341 combined yards with 33 TDs. Winston came out of last week’s game with a right thumb injury, which he’ll play through this week. Tampa lost Mike Evans in Week 13, which does hurt the explosiveness of the Bucs passing game. Detroit has risk vs. RBs (30th) and QBs (25th – 23.56 FPPG). Three opponents scored over 30.0 Fantasy points from the QB position. They allow 7.8 yards per pass attempt with 26 TDs. His passing yards should be there, but Tampa will score a TD or more on the ground, plus the loss of Evans will make their WRs easier to defend. Deshaun Watson, HOU (DK – $6,800/FD – $8,200) After 13 weeks, Watson remains the second-highest scoring QB (25.70 FPPG) in four-point passing TD leagues. Last week he struggled to make plays, but a pair of rushing TDs and volume of pass attempts (50) led to his second straight games with over 30 Fantasy points (31.30 and 33.00). Watson had five other games of value (34.40, 30.35, 46.00, 34.20, and 30.55 FPPG). His floor is helped by his value as a runner (68/344/7). The Titans are league average defending the QB position (20.48 FPPG) with one team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Tennessee allows 7.2 yards per pass attempt with 19 TDs. This game could be played at a fast pace, creating possible upside for Watson and the Texans’ passing game. Ryan Tannehill, TEN (DK – $6,500/FD – $7,600) Twice over the last three weeks, Tannehill delivered impact games (35.95 and 32.45 FPPG) despite attempting only 45 combined passes in there two outings. In his seven starts, he averaged 26.42 Fantasy points with 18 TDs and four Ints. Tannehill passed for over 300 yards three games. Houston ranks 28th in QB defense (25.03 FPPG), with two teams scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Over the past nine games, seven QBs have three TDs or more vs. the Texans, with five teams passing for more than 300 yards. Tennessee continues to improve offensively, giving Tannehill another chance at over 300 yards with three TDs or more. Baker Mayfield, CLE (DK – $6,400/FD – $7,700) Momentum hasn’t been a friend of Mayfield in 2019 as his accuracy and mistakes outweigh any gains in his rookie season (27 TDs in 14 games). After this week, he’ll match 2018 in games played while falling short in TDs (18 in 13 contests) while making too many mistakes (16 Ints). Over the previous two games, he passed for only 388 yards with one TD and three Int. His only game of value in 2019 came in Week 12 (327/3). The Cardinals remain the worst defense in the league vs. QBs (27.98 FPPG), with six teams scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. Arizona allows 8.0 yards per pass attempt with QBs tossing 24 TDs. A favorable matchup, but Mayfield averages only 13.25 FPPG game on the road. Aaron Rodgers, GB (DK – $6,300/FD – $8,000) Rodgers has been worthless in all Fantasy formats in four (161/1, 233/0, 104/1, and 195/1) of his previous five games. Despite his regression, he still ranks eight in QB scoring (21.75 FPPG) thanks to four impact games (31.70, 48.05, 30.15, and 30.55 Fantasy points). This season Rodgers averages only 33.9 passes per game compared to 37.3 in 2018. The Bears held him to 203 passing yards with one TD. Chicago sits 7th in QB defense (20.80 FPPG), with only one team scoring over 30.0 Fantasy points. The Bears allow 6.6 yards per attempt with no team tossing more than two
NFL Primetime – Week 14 SNF/MNF
The two prime time games to wrap-up week 14 include two divisional battles with plenty of playoff implications in the SNF game and the return of Eli Manning everyone! on Monday Night Football. Seattle Seahawks (-1) at L.A. Rams, total
4th and Goal NFL DFS Week 14
Quarterbacks Darnold – I was on Darnold even prior to hearing Bell will be out. Powell is not 1/10th of Bell, so this game has to be won by Sam. Look for more running and down field throws. Jackson – Matchup proof and proved that last week in a soaked game where he still had almost 30+ fantasy points. Cousins – Not a biased play, and actually the first time I have even said his name this year. Cook is injured and I highly doubt they push him this week. Watson – Usually puts 2 really good games together. Looks like Fuller will miss this one, so he’ll lean on Nuk and Stills. Running Backs Gordon – Jacksonville has given up an average of 185.7 yards per game on the ground over their last 3 games. Gordon has handled 20+ carries in 3 of his last 4 Fournette – Tough matchup, but volume is key Henry – December King Henry Freeman – Carolina is bottom 5 in the league giving up 137.5 yards on the ground this year. Freeman has ZERO worry for anyone vulturing him. Kamara – San Fran has struggled with stopping the run giving up 143.3 yards on the ground over the last 3 games. Mattison – I HIGHLY doubt they push Cook today. Shoulder/Chest injuries for RB’s never end well and end up having fumbling issues. Minnesota is pretty much locked into a playoff spot so with Thielen on the shelf as well, I don’t see them pushing Cook. Mattison is capable enough to have a good game. Wide Receivers Pascal – Do they have anyone else??? Ridley – Crushed this Carolina secondary earlier this season Hopkins – Will see double digit targets this week with Fuller out. Godwin – Anytime vs zone Edelman – Smash spot for him. 13 catches 125 and a score DJ Moore – 36 targets over his last 3 games Tight End Thomas – MIN PRICE ALERT Rudolph – Close enough for Christmas narrative right? Kittle Hooper Defense Minnesota Saints Indy
The Ambush – Week 14 DFS
The AMBUSH previews the NFL slate for the main contests this Sunday.