The Dongers Club – Tue, June 11th
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
MLB DFS Fastballs and Flyballs 6/11
This article is a over view of my favorite plays on tonight’s 15 game slate. I have chosen a few lower cost arms to help get in some of the higher priced bats. Along with pitchers I have a few of my favorite teams and bats with some value bats to help out. *Utilize this article along with the Dongers club by Steve Renner and The Cylce by Chris Rose. PITCHERS Jakob Junis Junis has pitched well in 3 of his last 4 games and gets an excellent matchup tonight vs the Tigers. They are one of the worst teams vs RHP this year batting .230 with a 27% K rate. Junis does a good job vs RHHs holding them to a .236 average and limits HRs. Tigers are right handed heavy. Dakota Hudson Hudson is an elite ground ball pitcher with a 73% GB rate to RHHs and 50% to LHHs. He limits right handed bats to a .230 average and has only allowed 1 HR. He does have some issues with LHHs but the Marlins don’t have many of them. Excellent spot and excellent park. Looking at 6 innings 4 Ks and 1 ER. DARK HORSE Martin Perez Perez has not pitched well and of late, but I like him to bounce back tonight vs the Mariners. They struggle vs LHP with a .239 average and 27% K rate. This year Perez has done a good job limiting power vs both sides of he plate. Perez has pitched well with Garver behind the plate and he is back from the DL, so this will help some. Nice K spot tonight and looking at 6 innings 8Ks and 2 ERs. TEAM/S Minnesota Twins vs Mike Leake- allowed 18 HRs this year 9 to each side of the plate. .338 wOBA to both sides of the plate. 1.8 HRs/9 to LHHs, 2.3 HRs/9 to RHHs. Very low K rate to RHHs. Twins have the most HRs vs RHP this year at 97 and one of the highest batting averages. Excellent mathcup at home for them vs Leake tonight. The whole lineup has power upside in this matchup. Prices have come down on the Twins as of late making them easier to lock in. They could easily hit 4-5 HRs tonight. Sano, Cron and Schoop are my favorites to go yard, Core: Sano, Cruz, Buxton, Rosario. Kepler, Polanco Value: Schoop, Gonzalez (both exellent plays tonight). Lower owned– Sano, Gonzalez, Schoop, Buxton. Washington Nationals vs Manny Banuelos- allowed over a .400 wOBA to both sides of the plate with a 1.7 HRs/9 to LHHs and a 2.8 HRs/9 to RHHs. Nats are one of the best hitting teams vs LHP with a .285 average, .354 wOBA and close to a .200 ISO. Core: Dozier (.355 ISO vs LHP favorite), Turner on fire, Rendon and Kendrick. Sneaky: Robles(.255 ISO vs LHP). Soto Low Ownership Team SD Padres This is not the best park for power and this is why most will stay away, but excellent matchup for the Padres tonight and could see 2-3 HRs from them. vs Tyler Beede- limited career stats are not good at all .445 wOBA with a 2.45 HRs/9 to LHHs and .372 wOBA to RHHs. Padres have power upside vs a sub par RHP. CORE: Renfroe or Reyes who ever makes lineup Both could easily go deep in this park, Tatis, Myers, Machado Value: Hosmer, Kinsler & Hedges if he makes the lienup. BATS Mookie Betts Betts is actually hitting much better vs RHP this year with just shy of .400 wOBA, .222 ISO and 44% HC. He faces Jurado tonight who throws close to 40% fastballs and Betts crushes this pitch at over a .300 ISO. Nice spot for Betts, JD Martinez and Xander Bogaerts against Jurado tonight. Could see HRs from all 3 tonight. David Peralta Another good spot for the DBack lefties as the face Jake Arrieta who has struggle vs them. Arrieta has allowed a .394 wOBA, 2.7 HRs/9 and 44% HC to LHHs this year. Peralta has hit very well vs rhp with a .324 average, .284 ISO and 44% HC. Excellent hitters park and can play with Escobar, Marte and Vargas. Brandon Lowe Lowe has been on fire as of late and faces Mike Fiers tonight who is prone to the long ball. Fiers actually gives up more HRs to RHHs which puts Pham, Garcia and Adames in play along with Meadows and Choi. Lowe is my favorite and can play 1-3 Rays tonight along with him. Pham, Lowe, Adames or Pham, Lowe, Choi my favorites. VALUE BATS Jackie Bradley Jr.-still hitting the ball hard and streak is not done yet. HR tonight. Nick Markakis Jacboy Jones CarGo Boooooooooom! (AKA Carlos Gonzalez) – still underpriced and he goes yard tonight back in his old park. Danny Jansen– punt catcher dirt cheap and facing a lefty. Ozzie Albies– starting to hit the ball well agian. Didi Gregororius– LvL dong. Brock Holt– matches up well vs Jurado.
The Cycle
The Staff Living in the cheap section tonight for arms. I don’t really love the higher priced arms, so roster and pray on these guys. Gausman – Yes I know he got hammered by this team 5 days ago. BUT he is at home where his sabermetrics are SLIGHTY better. This is risky as hell I know, but with weather issues and matchups that can be exposed it’s worth a shot. Alcantara – This kid turned a corner in his development. He’s pitching to contact now, instead of getting cute on the corners. This some Revenge narrative as well, as Sandy was a centerpiece in the Ozuna trade. Marquez – Everyone will be flocking to Chicago tonight after knocking him around for 8 runs in his last start against them. Marquez has figured out how to pitch in Coors and I want no parts of the cubs tonight. He goes 7 innings and strikes out 8 tonight. The Bats Dodgers – it’s warm in LA and I highly doubt canning has the tools to strike these guys out tonight. (Lefties and turner) Washington – Love this spot here for them. Despaigne is not a good pitcher (being a Marlins fan I watched them try to develop him). Prime spot for Washington to explode for double digit runs. White Sox – I’ve been attacking Sanchez every start, and I’ll continue til we get that 4 homer game.
The Dongers Club – Mon, 7/10
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
The Dongers Club – Sun, June 9th
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
The Dongers Club – Sat, June 8th – MAIN
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
The Dongers Club – Sat, June 8th
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
The Cycle
The Staff Cole – Best matchup on the board, with highest upside for double digit k’s. He’s been tough at home albeit one start, but matches up exceptionally well against this Baltimore team. (Risk factor 4) German – He’s prices down quite a bit on FanDuel after a couple rough outings. He does have 27 strikeouts in his last 20.2 innings pitched, with one real blowup game coming against KC. With JRam not able to catch up to fastballs this year, German’s real threat is Lindor. (Risk factor 5) Stroman – Much better at home this year with a 2.36 era and 60% ground ball rate. Over his last 12 innings pitched, he’s allowed a .261 and just a 23.8% hard contact. (Risk factor 6) The Bats Washington – Love the righties here tonight in a very sneaky spot. Rendon and Kendrick have Been the best against lefties. KC – Nova owns a 6+ era and has really struggled to strike out guys. KC is a team that can string a few singles together, then clear the bases with Soler or O’HEARN. Mets – finally time for this team to break out again. Senzatela has actually been worse on the road this year, and struggles against lefty bats. Smith is on fire right now, and conforto is due for his 2 week power surge.
The Dongers Club – Fri, June 7th
MLB DFS breakdown going through Weather, Pitchers, Stacks, Individual hitters, Lineup Construction, you name it, it’s here. Every day and always on point.
MLB DFS: The Daily Diamond – 6/7
*All pricing references are based on DraftKings unless otherwise noted This article is designed to give you a head start/a brief look at the top pitchers and hitters on the slate from a cash game and single entry contest point of view. Obviously, you’re not going to put together a full lineup from the players listed below but that’s not the idea. The idea is to give you an early look and to point you in the right direction. Combined with all of the other articles and resources we have here at FullTime DFS, collectively we’ll have you in a great spot to cash! Top Pitchers Gerrit Cole (HOU) Cole was underwhelming in his last start against Oakland throwing six innings but recording just four strikeouts. He comes in with a ridiculous 37.4 percent K rate while walking just 6.5 percent of the hitters he faces. The Orioles will be no match for Cole who I feel is worth every penny on a night where there is plenty of value to be had out there by way of the bats. Jacob deGrom (NYM) Feasibly you could go both Cole and deGrom tonight and work in bats around them. That’s how much value is available and considering deGrom is just $9,400 he has to be considered at home against the Rockies. We’ve seen this season already that Colorado is susceptible to being dominated, especially on the road, just as Chris Sale dominated them a few weeks back in Boston. deGrom left his last start early with a bit of an injury scare but it was considered to be more precautionary than anything, a start in which he was cruising in by the way in Arizona. Either way, Jake will be good to go tonight and look continue his recent home success as he’s gone 20 innings over his last three starts at Citi Field with 22 strikeouts and just two earned runs allowed. Clayton Kershaw (LAD) The only two problems I have with Kershaw are his salary and his lack of upside in this matchup. Imagine that. Clayton Kershaw lacking upside. That’s where we are with the future Hall of Famer who comes in at $11,200 tonight in San Francisco against the Giants. By now, we all know about the great park shift and the Giants offense or lack thereof. However, they don’t strike out a ton and Kershaw has not shown to be the high K guy he once was and we’ll more than likely never see that again. Would I be surprised to see him throw a complete game shutout against the Giants? No. But I don’t expect it like we probably could have three or four years ago. What I do expect is a six or seven inning outing with five to six strikeouts and a run or so allowed. Kershaw is a rock-solid option but not necessarily someone we need to have tonight. Brandon Woodruff (MIL) Woody had his worst start of the season last time out against these same Pirates, an outing that blew up on him with a string of two-out hits leaving Woodruff with a line of four innings, 10 hits, and six earned runs. This is where he bounces back, at home against Pittsburgh who is playing way over their heads right now. Before that last start, Woodruff had been on a roll pitching six innings in each of his last four starts allowing a total of four earned runs over 28 innings. At his salary he’s a fine SP2 option tonight. Bats to Build Around My top bats on the slate. Not to say that you should force all of these guys into your lineup(s), simply said, these are my favorite bats considering a number of variables. Khris Davis (OAK) While he may not be destroying righties this season like he has in season’s past, Davis is still my top bat on the slate to consider tonight in Texas against the Rangers. ‘Wait. Did you say IN TEXAS???’ Yes, I did. Khris Davis owns the Rangers, especially in their home park. In 28 career games there, Davis has 16 home runs, 11 doubles, a .328 batting average, and a 1.227 OPS. 10 of those home runs have come between 2017 and 2019 in 20 games over that span. Lynn throws his four-seam fastball 47 percent of the time against righties while mixing in a cutter (19 percent), and a sinker (25 percent); all pitches that Davis handles well against righties, specifically the sinker. In 236 batted-ball events since 2016 against that pitch, Davis has posted a .431 wOBA, .505 xwOBA, .300 ISO, and 81 percent contact rate. Against Lynn who has some reverse splits and the bad Rangers bullpen, Davis is in store for a good night at a sub-4K price tag. Mike Moustakas (MIL) Since August 24th of last season, Moose is 17-49 (.346) with three doubles and eight home runs against the Pirates, including three against them in three games already this season. He’s hitting the piss out of the ball right now with a 95 mile per hour average exit velocity over his last 10 games which has resulted in six home runs over that span. It looks like this will be somewhat of a bullpen game for the Pirates as they are starting Rookie Davis (who isn’t a rookie) and he’s also not very good either. Moose’s salary has dropped since the start of the Brewers’ past series when it was as high as $5,600, but he hasn’t stopped hitting and won’t tonight either. Bryce Harper (PHI) Harper and the Phils are back home after their six-game road trip, a trip that didn’t go well for them except for the last two games in which they scored nine and seven runs respectively. They face Tyler Mahle and the Reds at home tonight and Mahle is someone to target with left-handed bats. On the season in 25.2 innings against lefties he’s