Kentucky Derby 150: Opening Odds
Contributing Author: Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on Twitter Kentucky Derby 150: Opening Odds The 150th Run For Roses Is A Wide-Open Race In 2024 The post-position draw for the “Fastest Two Minutes in Sports” was drawn a full week ahead of next Saturday’s 2024 installment of the prestigious race. The biggest takeaway from the draw is that it was not favorable for either of the two short morning-line favorites Fierceness (5/2) and Sierra Leone (3-1). The result of the less than ideal positions may result in a wide-open affair that could offer solid investment opportunities for bettors. Be sure to check back here at FullTime Fantasy on Friday as I will have a full betting breakdown with exotic wagers as my Respected Money formula looks to nail the Kentucky Derby winner for the fourth time in the last five years! 2024 KENTUCKY DERBY BETTING PROFILES Fierceness  (5/2) POST NUMBER: No. 17 JOCKEY: John Velazquez / TRAINER: Todd Pletcher RECORD: 5 starts: 31-0-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 110 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser The most impressive performance of the Florida Derby that I’ve ever seen came from this year’s Triple Crown candidate: Fierceness. He’s the favorite next Saturday and draws a post position that has NEVER won the Derby (17). Watch his epic race below. Sierra Leone (3-1) POST NUMBER: No. 2 JOCKEY: Tyler Gaffalione / TRAINER: Chad Brown RECORD: 4 starts: 3-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 107 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Catching Freedom (8-1) POST NUMBER: No. 4 JOCKEY: Flavien Prat / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 5 starts: 3-0-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 98 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Forever Young (10-1) POST NUMBER: No. 11 JOCKEY: Ryusei Sakai / TRAINER:Yoshito Yahagi RECORD: 5 starts: 5-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: n/a RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Just a Touch (10-1) POST NUMBER: No. 8 JOCKEY: Florent Geroux / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 3 starts:1-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 105 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Stronghold (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 18 JOCKEY: Antonio Fresu / TRAINER: Phil D’Amato RECORD: 6 starts: 3-3-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 99 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Resilience (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 19 JOCKEY: Junior Alvarado / TRAINER: Bill Mott RECORD: 6 starts: 2-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 103 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Mystik Dan (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 3 JOCKEY: Brian Hernandez Jr. / TRAINER: Ken McPeek RECORD: 6 starts: 2-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 110 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Encino (20-1) — SCRATCHED POST NUMBER: No. 9 JOCKEY: XXX / TRAINER: Brad Cox RECORD: 4starts: 3-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 108 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Honor Marie (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 7 JOCKEY: Ben Curtis / TRAINER: D. Whitworth Beckman RECORD: 5 starts: 2-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 98 RUNNING STYLE: Closer Just Steel (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 6 JOCKEY: Keith Asmussen / TRAINER: D. Wayne Lukas RECORD: 11 starts: 2-4-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 112 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Track Phantom (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 12 JOCKEY: Joel Rosario / TRAINER: Steve Asmussen RECORD: 7 starts: 3-2-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 100 RUNNING STYLE: Pacesetter Dornoch (20-1) POST NUMBER: No. 1 JOCKEY: Luis Saez / TRAINER: Danny Gargan RECORD: 6 starts: 3-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 102 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Endlessly (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 14 JOCKEY: Umberto Rispoli / TRAINER: Michael McCarthy RECORD: 6 starts: 5-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 103 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Catalytic (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 5 JOCKEY: Jose Ortiz / TRAINER:.Saffie Joseph Jr. RECORD: 3 starts: 1-2-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 90 RUNNING STYLE: Pace Presser Domestic Product (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 15 JOCKEY: Irad Ortiz Jr. / TRAINER: Chad Brown RECORD: 5 starts: 2-1-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 92 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker T O Password (30-1) POST NUMBER: No. 10 JOCKEY: Kazushi Kimura / TRAINER: Daisuke Takayanagi RECORD: 2 starts: 2-0-0 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: n/a RUNNING STYLE: Pacesetter Grand Mo the First (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 16 JOCKEY: Emisael Jaramillo / TRAINER: Victor Barboza Jr. RECORD: 6 starts: 2-0-4 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 91 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker West Saratoga (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 13 JOCKEY: Jesus Castanon / TRAINER: Larry Demeritte RECORD: 10 starts: 2-5-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 93 RUNNING STYLE: Stalker Society Man (50-1) POST NUMBER: No. 20 JOCKEY: Frankie Dettori / TRAINER: Danny Gargan RECORD: 5 starts: 1-1-1 TOP EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE: 99 RUNNING STYLE: Closer ***Epic Ride and Mugatu are the two also-eligible entrants each installed with 50-1 morning line odds should they draw.
2024 NFL Draft Winners & Losers
2024 NFL Draft Winners & Losers The first round of Detroit’s first NFL Draft is in the books. And what a wild ride it was. With 32 picks in the books, it’s time to look back at the first-round 2024 NFL Draft Winners & Losers. Winners Caleb Williams (QB) Chicago Bears – There were no doubts that Williams was going No. 1. However, the Bears also added Washington WR Rome Odunze with the ninth pick. Williams will now open his pro career throwing to D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, Oduzne, and TE Cole Kmet. Minnesota Vikings – The Vikings refused to trade up and stood pat. Their reward- still landing the quarterback they coveted and getting one of the top pass-rushers in this draft. J.J. McCarthy is pro-ready and lands in an offense that led the NFL in passing in 2023. A masterful job by Kwesi Adofo-Mensah. Xavier Worthy (WR) Kansas City Chiefs – I love the reinforcement the Chiefs added after a ‘down’ season still led to another Lombardi Trophy. They signed Hollywood Brown and were able to trade up with the Bills to nab the fastest player in the league. Worthy will step in right away and replace Mecole Hardman as the Cheifs’ main deep threat- a role that Tyreek Hill performed to much acclaim. Kyler Murray (QB) Arizona Cardinals – Murray landed a legit No. 1 wide receiver in Marvin Harrison Jr. After the pick, Murray was clearly excited. Fantasy managers should be as well. Harrison has WR1 upside in 2024 and could approach 150 targets. LET’S ROCK!🥋🏎️ @MarvHarrisonJr — Kyler Murray (@K1) April 26, 2024 Losers Atlanta Falcons – Wherever you come out on Michael Penix as a prospect, this was another head-scratcher from Terry Fontenot. Atlanta just went all in on Kirk Cousins to the tune of a $100 million deal with the first two years fully guaranteed. Then, out of nowhere, used the No. 8 pick on a 24-year-old rookie with a lengthy injury history who was widely considered a marginal first-round talent. Cousins was ‘stunned’. So were most football fans. Unless Cousins is behind on his injury rehab, Penix won’t play for a minimum of two years. Additionally, Fontenot may have alienated his prized offseason acquisition. Ricky Pearsall (WR) San Francisco 49ers– Although Pearsall’s dynasty value might actually be considered a winner, his 2024 redraft value took a hit. As long as Brandon Aiyuk remains in red and gold, Pearsall is, at best, fifth in line for targets in San Francisco. I love Ricky Pearsall as a prospect, so I’m not downgrading him too much. However, the No. 5 option in Kyle Shanahan’s offense is typically in the WR75 range due to lack of volume. Malik Nabers (WR) New York Giants – Nabers was my WR1 in the pre-draft process but landing with the Giants is a bit of a concern. I have no confidence in Daniel Jones’s ability to get an alpha wideout enough opportunities to pay off his ADP. I’m still a fan of Nabers in Dynasty, but his redraft value took a hit. Buffalo Bills – The Bills are up first in Round Two after trading out twice and accumulating more draft capital. However, the Bills are in ‘win now’ mode. And those late-round picks are unlikely to help this team win in 2024. Additionally, Buffalo can’t get by the Chiefs and just allowed their rivals to trade up with them and nab the fastest player in NFL Combine history. Michael Mayer (TE) Las Vegas Raiders – Quarterback is already an issue in Vegas. Now, the top tight end from last season just got usurped by one of the top tight end prospects of the last decade. It’s hard to see the Raiders having enough success to keep Mayer fantasy-relevant this season. GET THE LATEST FANTASY TIPS AND CONTEST UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter to win Weekly Prizes + Breaking Fantasy news & updates!
Scott Atkins’ NFL Mock Draft FINAL
Scott Atkins’ NFL Mock Draft Final What a wild ride this NFL Mock Draft season was! The Commanders zeroed in on Jayden Daniels and the Patriots fell in love with JJ McCarthy. This sent the Vikings into a frenzy trying to move up to four to take their Quarterback. Even the Giants and Raiders hit the phones but the Cardinals with all that draft capital were locked in on MHJ. Now trades throw a huge wrinkle into any mock and sometimes it’s best to not try to predict any trades at all because if they don’t come in, your whole draft can be thrown off. So of course this year, I had to project a record FOUR trades! D The first with the Vikings. After unsuccessfully prying away the 4 pick from the Cardinals, Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers pick up the phone and say DEAL in order to plug their holes at OL and WR later in the round. I thought a lot about moving the Giants up one spot for the Chargers but in the end I chose the Vikings as the Chargers dance partner. Afterwards, the Giants surprise everyone with their selection of Rome Odunze (who we heard they had at the top of their WR board). The Jets then see an opportunity to lock in the last of the three stud WRs and trade up to 8 in a deal with the Falcons, who get the guy they would have taken at 8. That’s what they call a win-win for both teams. The Eagles move up from 22 to 12 with the Broncos to snag their top DB in the class while the Broncos trade down and select their QB Michael Penix not Bo Nix. The Steelers trade up with the Colts for an early draft day move, swapping picks to ensure they get their corner while the Colts had their eye on a certain WR from LSU to help pour some jet fuel on the Anthony Richardson led offense. Here is Scott Atkins’ NFL Mock Draft Final for The Huddle Report Annual Contest Submission submitted on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. No Thursday updates are allowed to this mock draft. Follow me @ScottFantasy. Scott Atkins – Fulltime Fantasy PICK TEAM PLAYER 1 BEARS Caleb Williams, QBÂ USC 2 COMMANDERS Jayden Daniels, QBÂ LSU 3 PATRIOTS JJ McCarthy, QBÂ Â Michigan 4 CARDINALS Marvin Harrison, WRÂ Ohio St 5 VIKINGS – TRADE with CHARGERS Drake Maye, QBÂ North Carolina 6 GIANTS Rome Odunze, WRÂ Washington 7 TITANS Joe Alt, OTÂ Notre Dame 8 JETS – TRADE with FALCONS Malik Nabers, WRÂ LSU 9 BEARS Byron Murphy, DLÂ Texas 10 FALCONS – TRADE with JETS Laiatu Latu, EDGEÂ UCLA 11 CHARGERS – TRADE with VIKINGS JC Latham, OTÂ Alabama 12 EAGLES – TRADE with BRONCOS Quinyon Mitchell, CBÂ Toledo 13 RAIDERS Taliese Fuaga, OTÂ Oregon St 14 SAINTS Olu Fashanu, OTÂ Penn St 15 STEELERS – TRADE with COLTS Terrion Arnold, CBÂ Alabama 16 SEAHAWKS Dallas Turner, EDGEÂ Alabama 17 JAGUARS Troy Fautanu, OTÂ Washington 18 BENGALS Brock Bowers, TEÂ Georgia 19 RAMS Jared Verse, EDGEÂ Florida St 20 COLTS — TRADE with STEELERS Brian Thomas, WR LSU 21 DOLPHINS Graham Barton, OTÂ Duke 22 BRONCOS – TRADE with EAGLES Michael Penix, QBÂ Washington 23 CHARGERS – TRADE with VIKINGS Ladd McConkey, WRÂ Georgia 24 COWBOYS Amarius Mims, OTÂ Georgia 25 PACKERS Tyler Guyton, OTÂ Oklahoma 26 BUCCANEERS Chop Robinson, EDGEÂ Penn St 27 CARDINALS Cooper DeJean, CBÂ Iowa 28 BILLS Xavier Worthy, WRÂ Texas 29 LIONS Kool Aid McKinstry, CBÂ Alabama 30 RAVENS Jackson Powers-Johnson, OTÂ Oregon 31 49ERS Jordan Morgan, OTÂ Arizona 32 CHIEFS JerZhan Newton, DLÂ Illinois GET THE LATEST FANTASY TIPS AND CONTEST UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter to win Weekly Prizes + Breaking Fantasy news & updates!
Jody Smith’s NFL Mock Draft FINAL
Jody Smith’s NFL Mock Draft Final Here is Jody Smith’s NFL Mock Draft Final for The Huddle Report Annual Contest Submission submitted on Wednesday, April 24, 2024. No Thursday updates are allowed to this mock draft. Undoubtedly, revisions will be made before Round One. Follow me @JodySmithNFL and check FullTime Fantasy for those updated changes. PICK TEAM PLAYER 1 BEARS Caleb Williams USC 2 COMMANDERS Jayden Daniels LSU 3 PATRIOTS Drake Maye North Carolina 4 VIKINGS (projected trade) JJ McCarthy  Michigan 5 CHARGERS Marvin Harrison Ohio St 6 GIANTS Malik Nabers LSU 7 TITANS Joe Alt Notre Dame 8 FALCONS Laiatu Latu UCLA 9 BEARS Dallas Turner Alabama 10 JETS Brock Bowers Georgia 11 CARDINALS Rome Odunze Washington 12 BRONCOS Byron Murphy Texas 13 RAIDERS JC Latham Alabama 14 SAINTS Troy Fautanu Washington 15 COLTS Quinyon Mitchell Toledo 16 SEAHAWKS Jared Verse Florida St 17 JAGUARS Terrion Arnold Alabama 18 BENGALS Olu Fashanu Penn St 19 RAMS Tyler Guyton Oklahoma 20 STEELERS Graham Barton Duke 21 DOLPHINS Jackson Powers-Johnson Oregon 22 EAGLES Kool Aid McKinstry Alabama 23 CARDINALS (projected trade) Amarius Mims Georgia 24 COWBOYS Taliese Fuaga Oregon St 25 PACKERS Cooper DeJean Iowa 26 BUCCANEERS Chop Robinson Penn St 27 CARDINALS Nate Wiggins Clemson 28 BILLS Brian Thomas LSU 29 RAIDERS (projected trade) Michael Penix Washington 30 RAVENS JerZhan Newton Illinois 31 49ERS Darius Robinson Missouri 32 CHIEFS Xavier Worthy Texas GET THE LATEST FANTASY TIPS AND CONTEST UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter to win Weekly Prizes + Breaking Fantasy news & updates!
Rookie Scouting Profile: Ricky Pearsall
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Ricky Pearsall Ricky Pearsall (WR) Florida Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-1 189 4.41 Round 2 2.10 Adam Thielen College Production A three-star recruit out of Chandler, Arizona, Ricky Pearsall set
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Rookie Scouting Profile: Keon Coleman
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Keon Coleman Keon Coleman (WR) Florida State Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-3 213 4.61 Day 2 2.02 Courtland Sutton College Production A three-sport star out of Opelousas Catholic School in
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Tuesday NFL Draft Vegas Markets on the Move
Every day we’re connecting you with the betting/wagering insights from Vegas, which directly means we’re sharing with you when a market makes a massive move based on big time betting money coming in and hammering a wager they think represents good value. This type of thing often happens when secrets are leaked from inside team war rooms. It’s also why the sportsbooks take most of their NFL Draft action off the board by sometime Tuesday night or early Wednesday. News starts to come out and the books find themselves on the wrong side of the action. It’s our job to help you get in front of it so you can be in the know about what’s to come. This info isn’t a prediction, it’s a spoiler. (Thank you Paul Heyman for that line.) MHJ to go No. 3 to NE was hit hard. (Can still be found at 33/1 at FD) Our Take: The Patriots must have only had QB Jayden Daniels on their board at 3 and with him projected to the Commanders, it looks like our recent mock which had the Patriots taking him with pick 3, may in fact come true. UNDER 4.5 QBs in 1st ROUND Our Take: Penix and Nix falling out of the 1st would be shocking but here we are. UNDER 6.5 Total Trades in RD 1 Our Take: Last year we saw 7 trades in the first round. Seems the bettors are thinking there will be slightly less action this year with teams but six would still make for a wild round one. OL Graham Barton UNDER 23.5 down to 20.5 Our Take: He’s gaining steam as I had him ranked 7th best OL behind Alt, Fuaga, Fautanu, Latham, Fashanu and Mims. EDGE Laiatu Latu Top 10 down to +175 Our Take: This is a HUGE move as he was recently 40 and 50-1 for the Top 10. —Both Latu & Byron Murphy to go in Top 10 has been hit hard. Both could be the target of ATL at No 8 OR both crack Top 10. It appears both have overtaken Dallas Turner. In order for both those guys to be taken, one possibility is that the Jets are trading up with Atlanta who has Latu top of their board (big change from Dallas Turner early reports) to lock in WR Rome Odunze at 8. CHI would then take Murphy, ATL then Latu. For Odunze to be there, 4 QBs (with Arizona trading down with someone), Alt and both MJH and Nabers selected. That leaves Odunze to the Jets at 8. They’d probably have to give up a 2nd next year to get it done. Doubt Atlanta gives them Odunze for less than that.
Rookie Scouting Profile: Michael Penix Jr.
FullTime Fantasy Rookie Scouting Profile: Michael Penix Jr. Michael Penix Jr. (QB) Washington Ht. Wt. 40-Time NFL Draft Dynasty ADP NFL Comp 6-2 216 4.57* Late 1st 3.10 Tua Tagovailoa * Pro Day College Production Penix was born in Cookeville, TN on May 8, 2000, but was mostly raised in Dade City, Florida. Attended Tampa Bay Technical High School where he compiled 4,243 passing yards and a 61-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio in two seasons as starter. Penix enrolled at Indiana on February 18, 2018 and completed 21-of-34 passes for 219 yards and a score in three games while redshirting. In 2019, Penix started six games and led the Hoosiers to a 5-1 record in those games before a shoulder injury ended his season. Named Indiana’s starter ahead of 2020, Penix again made six starts with a 5-1 record and earned Second-team All-Big-Ten honors before tearing his ACL in a 27-11 home victory against Maryland. 2021 campaign was derailed by a left shoulder injury after five starts. On December 14, 2021, Penix transferred to Washington. Ranked second in FBS with 4,641 passing yards and was named to the All-Pac-12 Second-team in 2022. Concluded college career winning the Maxwell Award, was named Second-team AP All-American, and was a Heisman Trophy finalist after leading the Huskies to the national championship game. Strengths • Strong throwing arm with outstanding accuracy and delivery on deep balls. • Impressive Pro Day measurables. Posted 97th percentile wingspan, 88th percentile hand size, 93rd percentile 40 time, and both his vert and broad jumps were in the top 5th percentile. • Good decision-maker who won’t waste a lot of throws or turn the ball over. Adept at reading through multiple progressions. • Has experience taking snaps under center and in a pro-style offense. • Good feel for pressure. Knows how to step up and get rid of the ball to avoid hits. Only 7.6% of his dropbacks in 2023 resulted in a sack. Concerns • Is already 24 years old with two right ACL tears and major injuries to both shoulders on his resume. • Accuracy drops off when forced outside of the pocket. • Throwing mechanics and release are inconsistent and need refinement. Issues could be further exasperated by the fact that Penix is a southpaw. • College playoffs are good indicators of the best (phenomenal vs. Texas) and worst (struggled vs. Michigan) that Penix brings to the table. • Production in 2023 was helped by an outstanding supporting cast. Fantasy Outlook The two most recent games that Michael Penix played are indicative of his full college resume. There are plenty of positives, like deep-ball accuracy, decision-making, and overall command. However, there are concerns exposed by Michigan that make Penix a polarizing prospect. His draft stock seems to be on the rise. Penix is mocked to the Raiders at 13, which would be good and bad for his 2024 fantasy value. Las Vegas signed Gardner Minshew which could lead to a developmental season for Penix. That’s troubling for a rookie who is already 24. Especially in dynasty formats. Then there are the two major knee and shoulder injuries to consider. That’s a lot of risk for dynasty managers to take into account. Unless Penix falls outside the top 20 in Superflex rookie drafts, I do not anticipate rostering him much. Other Rookie Profiles Caleb Williams Marvin Harrison Jr. Malik Nabers Rome Odunze Brock Bowers Jayden Daniels Brian Thomas Jr. Troy Franklin Xavier Worthy Jonathon Brooks Drake Maye Trey Benson J.J. McCarthy AD Mitchell Ladd McConkey See where Michael Penix Jr. ranks in Jody’s 2024 rookie rankings. The 2024 NFL off-season is underway but it’s not too late to get access to the best help out there! All FullTime Fantasy members get exclusive access to our 24/7 Chat Room on Discord! All morning on Sunday, Senior Analyst Jody Smith will be standing by to answer all your crucial start/sit and keep you updated with all the latest news and injury updates. JOIN OUR MAILING LIST! GET THE LATEST ARTICLES & UPDATES Subscribe to our FREE newsletter – Breaking Fantasy news & site updates! Like and share our new Facebook page! Be sure to pay attention to our giveaways for your shot at some sweet prizes!
NFL DRAFT POSITION BOARD
Here’s how I rank each position so I call it a NFL Draft Position Board. While best player available tends to be the way to draft the first round, often times teams draft based on positional need. When that happens, this draft board will help you understand why the decision was made. QUARTERBACKS RUNNING BACKS WIDE RECEIVERS TIGHT ENDS OFFENSIVE LINE 1 Caleb Williams 1 Jonathan Brooks 1 Marvin Harrison 1 Brock Bowers 1 Joe Alt 2 Drake Maye 2 Trey Benson 2 Malik Nabers 2 JaTavion Sanders 2 Taliese Fuaga 3 Jayden Daniels 3 Jaylen Wright 3 Rome Odunze 3 Ben Sinnott 3 Troy Fautanu 4 Michael Penix 4 MarShawn Lloyd 4 Brian Thomas 4 Theo Johnson 4 JC Latham 5 JJ McCarthy 5 Blake Corum 5 Adonai Mitchell 5 Cade Stover 5 Olu Fashanu 6 Bo Nix 6 Braelon Allen 6 Xavier Worthy 6 Jared Wiley 6 Amarius Mims 7 Jordan Travis 7 Will Shipley 7 Ladd McConkey 7 Jaheim Bell 7 Graham Barton 8 Joe Milton 8 Isaac Guerendo 8 Troy Franklin 8 Dallin Holker 8 Tyler Guyton 9 Spencer Rattler 9 Ray Davis 9 Xavier Legette 9 Tanner McLachlan 9 Jordan Morgan 10 Audric Estime 10 Ricky Pearsall 10 Tip Reiman 10 Jackson Powers-Johnson 11 Bucky Irving 11 Keon Coleman 11 Patrick Paul 12 Dylan Laube 12 Malachi Corley 12 Roger Rosengarten 13 Cody Schrader 13 Roman Wilson 12 Kingsley Suamataia 14 Rasheen Ali 14 Devontez Walker 13 Zach Frazier 15 Frank Gore 15 Ja’Lynn Polk 14 Cooper Beebe 16 Tyrone Tracy 16 Brenden Rice 15 Beaux Limmer 17 Javon Baker 18 Luke McCaffrey 19 Malik Washington 20 Bub Means DEFENSIVE LINE EDGE RUSHER LINEBACKERS CORNERBACKS SAFETIES 1 Byron Murphy 1 Dallas Turner 1 Payton Wilson 1 Terrion Arnold 1 Javon Bullard 2 JerZhan Newton 2 Jared Verse 2 Junior Colson 2 Quinyon Mitchell 2 Tyler Nubin 3 Darius Robinson 3 Laiatu Latu 3 Edgerrin Cooper 3 Cooper DeJean 3 Evan Williams 4 Braden Fiske 4 Chop Robinson 4 Nate Wiggins 4 Kamren Kinchens 5 Kris Jenkins 5 Bralen Trice 5 Kool Aid McKinstry 5 Sione Vaki 6 TVondre Sweat 6 Jonah Elliss 6 Khyree Jackson 6 Cole Bishop 7 Ruke Orhorhoro 7 Mohamed Kamara 7 Kamari Lassiter 7 Jaden Hicks 8 Maason Smith 8 Chris Braswell 8 Mike Sainristil 9 Michael Hall 9 Marshawn Kneeland 9 Renardo Green 10 McKinnley Jackson 10 Ennis Rakestraw 11 Decamerion Richardson 12 TJ Tampa 13 Kalen King
NFL Mock Draft: By Betting Odds
Written By: Jaime Eisner, Frankie Taddeo, a collaboration presented by The Draft Network. Apr 22, 2024 • 1:01 am As the 2024 NFL Draft draws closer, the volume of mock draft posts increases exponentially. It’s a wonderful time of year, honestly, and we can see all sorts of creativity play out. There are predictive and “what I would do” mocks. There are mocks with trades, mocks without them, best player available mocks, and so much more. However, this mock will be a bit different than all of those. The players selected by each team are a reflection of available betting odds for teams, players, position groups, etc. That exercise is meant to illustrate what a chalk-like draft would look like. In addition to the selections, value plays are discussed to help give bettors a potential edge. So let’s take a look at what a first-round 2024 NFL mock draft looks like based only on betting odds with value and sharp money plays included. Reminder: Betting props often get taken down early—sometimes 48 hours in advance of Round 1. Be sure to get your wagers in well in advance. 2024 NFL Mock Draft 1. Chicago Bears (via CAR) Caleb Williams, QB, USC — Fantasy Profile – Superflex 1.01, Dynasty 1.07 There’s no suspense here. Caleb Williams is -20000 at DraftKings to be the No. 1 overall pick to the Bears. Don’t waste your time or money betting or fading this pick. 2. Washington Commanders Jayden Daniels, QB, LSU — Fantasy Profile – Superflex 1.03, Dynasty 1.12 Jayden Daniels is -130 at FanDuel to be the second quarterback taken and the No. 2 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Daniels was heavily favored to be the second player off the board up until the middle of last week. Despite the massive odds swing, the dual-threat signal-caller is still favored to become the second QB off the board on Thursday night in MoTown. 3. New England Patriots Drake Maye, QB, North Carolina — Fantasy Profile – Superflex 1.05, Dynasty 2.08 The Patriots need to reset their quarterback clock by taking a rookie passer in the 2024 NFL Draft. The betting markets suggest Drake Maye is their answer. Maye is a -110 favorite at FanDuel to be the No. 3 overall pick in the draft. Value Play: J.J. McCarthy (+380; FanDuel) — With so little information available about who the No. 2 overall pick will be, there isn’t much value in betting on either Maye or Daniels. If you want to take a flier, it’s possible either the Patriots or a trade-up team like the Giants, Vikings, or Broncos like McCarthy as the overall QB3. 4. Arizona Cardinals Marvin Harrison Jr., WR, Ohio State — Fantasy Profile – Dynasty 1.01, Superflex 1.02 Marvin Harrison Jr. is -200 at DraftKings to be selected fourth overall. The most sought-after target in 2024 Fantasy Football Dynasty leagues is heavily favored (-500) to be the first non-QB off the board. Fantasy football managers meet the newest weapon for Arizona QB Kyler Murray IF the Cardinals do not trade back with a QB-needy team looking to move up. 5. Los Angeles Chargers Malik Nabers, WR, LSU — Fantasy Profile – Dynasty 1.02, Superflex 1.04 Like Arizona, this is a potential trade-up spot for a quarterback. However, if the Chargers stick and pick here, the only debate will be a wide receiver versus offensive tackle. Malik Nabers is the +200 favorite at MGM to be the Chargers’ selection. Los Angeles parted ways with both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams this offseason, leaving the roster in desperate need of a top wide receiver. Some in the NFL have Nabers as the WR1 in the class but he’s no lower than WR3. Value Play: J.J. McCarthy (+450; FanDuel) — If the Chargers want a new right tackle, I expect they’ll trade down to select one. A trade-up from any of several teams below them would almost certainly be for a quarterback. The Chargers can easily move back to pick 11, 12, or 13 and still get their guy and a bunch of draft capital. 6. New York Giants J.J. McCarthy, QB, Michigan — Fantasy Profile – Superflex 1.08, Dynasty 3.02 After seeing both Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison Jr. come off the board just ahead of them in this scenario, the betting odds have the former Michigan standout favored to land with Big Blue. In fact, McCarthy is -900 at DraftKings to come off the board in the top 10, so we will stop his fall here. 7. Tennessee Titans Joe Alt, OT, Notre Dame It feels like the No. 7 pick has been earmarked for Joe Alt for quite some time. The Titans have obvious needs along their offensive line and many regard Alt as the top overall offensive lineman in the 2024 class. When a team need matches talent, a perfect fit is born. Alt is a -175 favorite to be the No. 7 pick at DraftKings. Outside of Caleb Williams to the Bears at No. 1, this has been the most mocked player-team fit. Value Play: Taliese Fuaga (+1000; Caesars) — Don’t expect anyone but Alt to be drafted in this spot if he’s still on the board, but what if Jim Harbaugh gets frisky at No. 5 and takes him? Sportsbooks appear to think the Titans will pivot to wide receiver, but I’m not so sure. The need on the offensive line is massive and Fuaga is a stud in his own right that could start for Tennessee right away. 8. Atlanta Falcons Dallas Turner, EDGE, Alabama The betting odds have former Crimson Tide standout Dallas Turner coming off the board to the Falcons at eighth overall. He’s the +150 favorite at Caesars to come off the board here. Value Play: Byron Murphy II (+1400, DraftKings) — Respected Money in Vegas says Atlanta is high on Texas DT Byron Murphy II. Don’t be shocked to see Terry Fontenot trade back a few spots and grab Murphy