Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is
FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4.
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Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 4
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Target & Touch Leaders Week 3
Target & Touch Leaders Week 3 Opportunity is everything in fantasy football. Looking beyond the box score to see what players are earning crucial targets and touches is integral. Our weekly Target & Touch Leaders Week 3 breaks down those
Opportunity is everything in fantasy football. Looking beyond the box score to see what players are earning crucial targets and touches is integral. Our weekly Target & Touch Leaders breaks down those opportunities in a user-friendly way. Having this data can help fantasy football managers make informed decisions for Week 4 and beyond.
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Week 3 Target Leaders
Overall Target Leaders
Overall Target Share Leaders…
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Week 4 Sleepers & Emerging Players
AllenWeek 4 Sleepers, Potential-Emergent Players, and Opportunistic Plays This article is contributed by Brad Kruse This column is NOT intended to provide week 4 waiver claims lists. Instead, the purpose is to look at young players whose opportunities could be emerging and should be monitored. These are the Week 4 Sleepers and Emerging players to monitor moving forward. My goal is to help look around corners for the season which might give some ideas for pre-emptive adds to your roster. Young Running Backs and Their Opportunity Status Braelon Allen: Allen didn’t match his week 2 output, but his usage was again strong. Allen played 23 of the 73 snaps in the game and got 11 carries and 3 targets. He averaged 5.0 yards per carry to lead the team with 55 rushing yards. Also, Allen added three receptions for 13 yards and demonstrated his premium handcuff appeal if Breece Hall were to go down plus a playable emergency RB2 or flex alternative in leagues. Bucky Irving: The story with Irving continued into week 3. He is outperforming Rachaad White on the ground as he received nine carries to White’s six and gained 78 yards (7.8 yards/carry) to White’s 17 (2.8 yards/carry). White plays a lot more snaps and garners more targets. But the Bucs have to get Irving into the action more. His time is near. Roschon Johnson: A new edition to this list is the Bears 2nd year RB. Swift has disappointed fantasy managers. With Travis Homer’s injury, Johnson regained his third-down back role from last year and earned eight carries and five targets for the Bears. He also led Chicago’s backfield with 30 yards rushing and 32 yards receiving on 4 receptions. I wouldn’t look for Swift to disappear, but you have to like the passing game usage for Johnson. For him to be startable, however, the Bears will need to increase the output of the offense. Jaylen Wright: Another week without Raheem Mostert and another ho-hum day for Wright. This entire offense looks like a disaster until Tua Tagovailoa returns (likely after his 4-week IR stint). Tua is reportedly symptom-free, so I’d lean toward him returning when eligible. However, that’s still three weeks where the Dolphins will look to be run-heavy. But they need to figure out a way to be more efficient with the run. Wright’s looking like a disappointment so far as he’s had a few opportunities in the last two weeks but hasn’t flashed yet. Blake Corum: Corum has devolved into strictly a handcuff. He’s had no action and it’s somewhat inexplicable that they drafted him for someone who they could trust to relieve Kyren Williams and so as not to wear Williams down. Williams is handling a monster workload just like last year. He’s tough to hold in leagues right now, but the appeal of playing for the Rams’ fantasy juicy offense will probably keep fantasy managers loyal to their draft pick another week. Tank Bigsby: Bigsby played in week 3 on a questionable tag, but only received nine snaps, two carries and no targets in the blowout loss to the Bills. D’Ernest Johnson out-snapped Bigsby. Bigsby still appeared to be the primary backup before garbage time, but he’ll need better matchups or an injury to Étienne who is dominating snaps right now. Ray Davis: Davis chopped up the snaps behind James Cook with Ty Johnson then picked up the garbage time carries which yielded a TD. However, Davis doesn’t appear to be trusted on third downs, yet which is a disappointment that if Cook were to go down, Davis would likely be the between-the-tackles runner and Ty Johnson would get 3rd downs. Marshawn Lloyd: Lloyd is on IR, but the role behind Josh Jacobs is fruitful and Emanuel Wilson showed in Week 3. Wilson is playing well, and Lloyd may be able to secure the backup job if he can stay healthy when he returns. Lloyd is a player to keep in mind for a fresh-legged runner down the stretch but don’t sleep on Wilson in the meantime. Carson Steele: We didn’t get a lot of clarity this week on Steele. He did get the start and was used a bit in the passing game, however Samaje Perine was used more in the passing situations (3rd down and 2-minute drill). Plus, we might see Kareem Hunt enter the scene next week, so this is a fragile situation. Right now, Steele is probably the RB to own, but as soon as it sorts itself out, Pacheco could return. Breakout Wide Receivers Jalen McMillan: McMillan was quiet again, but the skillset is there. He’s behind solid veterans in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. He’s out there consistently running routes. Hopefully, it won’t take an injury for him to get involved more. Adonai Mitchell: With Josh Down’s return, Mitchell’s snap share plummeted. For now, he seems behind Pierce, but Ashton Dulin also played twice as many snaps (14:7) as Mitchell. Mitchell is back in wait-and-see mode. Malik Washington: Washington’s opportunity will have to wait until Tua’s healthy. He’s likely on the waiver wire and should stay there until this offense gets on track. Alec Pierce: The Bears have a strong secondary and they essentially shut down the passing attack for the Colts, who relied on the running game to bulldoze the Bears in Week 3. Pierce’s one reception on two targets did lead the Colts with 44 receiving yards demonstrating his deep-threat role on the team. But this time he didn’t get in the end zone. Regardless, his skill set seems to match Richardson’s strong arm. He’s flexible against lesser secondaries and games that figure to be negative game scripts for the Colts. Ja’Lynn Polk: Polk’s role seemed to shrink in week 3 after getting only 26 snaps and was outtargeted by DeMario Douglas (9:2). Polk will likely be a fine wide receiver, but he’ll need this offense to perform better and open up. That might not happen until Drake Maye takes over. Jordan
Injury Report: Week 4
Injury Report: Week 4 Another week with scoring down and injuries up. At this rate, teams that make the championship might have 100% turnover from their Week 1 startling lineups. Our Injury Report: Week 4 takes you through another week of big fantasy news. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Jordan Love (QB) Green Bay Packers – Love (MCL) returned to practice last week and was “close” to playing. He is expected to be limited this week in practice. However, there is a 70% chance Love will return to face the Vikings in Week 4. We will keep the FullTime Fantasy Discord updated with news all week. DeVonta Smith (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – A vicious hit resulted in a concussion for Smith. He must clear the league’s protocol before he can suit up. Typically, that takes 1-2 weeks, so consider him questionable for Week 4. Austin Ekeler (RB) Washington Commanders – Ekeler is also in the concussion protocol. Ekeler did not fly home with the team, which complicates his Week 5 status. Trey McBride (TE) Arizona Cardinals – Yet another premier fantasy player sidelined with a concussion. Adam Thielen (WR) Carolina Panthers – Just when Andy Dalton restored some credibility to Carolina’s fledgling offense, Thielen injured his hamstring on his TD grab and will miss at least four games. Check out Week 4 waiver wire for who to target to replace Thielen. Panthers placing WR Adam Thielen (hamstring) on IR. (via @RapSheet) pic.twitter.com/gUGQgV5cuD — NFL (@NFL) September 24, 2024 Justin Herbert (QB) Los Angeles Chargers – Herbert aggravated his ankle injury and exited LA’s Week 3 loss. However, there is some optimism that Herbert will play in Week 4 with some mobility limitations. Ken Walker (RB) Seattle Seahawks – Reportedly, Walker (oblique) is progressing well. However, with Zach Charbonnett filling in nicely, the Seahawks have the luxury of letting Walker get close to 100% before they start him. Sam LaPorta (TE) Detroit Lions – Low-ankle sprain. We will update his status throughout the week. However, it should be noted that the Lions have a Week 5 bye. Skylar Thompson (QB) Miami Dolphins – Thompson is day-to-day with a chest injury. Despite his availability, Superflex fantasy managers should be prepared for Tyler Huntley to start for the Dolphins this week. Jaylen Warren (RB) Pittsburgh Steelers – A knee injury forced Warren from Sunday’s game. He had an MRI and is questionable for Week 4. UPDATE: Warren is week-to-week. Britain Covey (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Sent to IR with a shoulder injury. ENTER OUR WEEK 4 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 4 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 4 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 4 TEAM and enter the REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Circa Survivor Report: Week 3
Circa Survivor Report: Week 3 WEEK 3 NFL MADNESS LEAVES ONLY 5% OF CIRCA SURVIVOR ENTRANTS ALIVE If you are still alive in Circa’s Survivor NFL $1,000 entry fee contest, consider playing Powerball this weekend. Following the Week 3 bloodbath, only 642 (5%) of the starting 14,266 entries remain alive. For the third consecutive week, upset madness in the NFL continued as several of the biggest home favorites on the board lost straight-up. 931 entries (24%) picked Deshaun Watson and the Browns to beat the previously winless Giants at home. However, the 7-point underdog G-Men pulled off a stunning 21-15 victory. #CircaSurvivor 2024 🏈🏆 Week 3 Selections 📄 Complete selections: https://t.co/bGqO1GQzx2 pic.twitter.com/GC39pvd4GJ — Circa Sports (@CircaSports) September 22, 2024 USE PROMO CODE: SAVE20 for 20% off our 6-month package and get INSTANT ACCESS to FullTime Fantasy’s Award-Winning fantasy football projections! In addition to the Browns, the Bucaneers were the next biggest knock-out blow to contestants as they took out another 667 entries (17.2%) aftter being upset by Broncos. The massacre did not end there as Las Vegas, who took out 2,304 entries last week when they upset the Ravens, eliminated 515 (13.3%) of the entrants in Week 3 when they lost 36-22 to Andy Dalton and the Panthers as a near touchdown home favorite. The Silver and Black are personally responsible for dashing the dreams of 39.8% of the pool in the last two weeks. Andy Dalton owns the Raiders 👊 pic.twitter.com/cIh0UwsUMW — FanDuel Sportsbook (@FDSportsbook) September 22, 2024 The Record-Breaking $14,266,000 million prize pool, despite not needing to cover any point spread, has left even the best bettors crying the blues. As if the home favorites going down wasn’t enough, the biggest road-favorrite of the week – the 49ers – broke the hearts of 69 entrants (1.8%) when they blew a 10-point lead over the final six minutes of the game. The 27-24 win by Matthew Stafford and the Rams left San Francisco backers in stunned disbelief. Rams highest ML odds were +2500 before their incredible comeback vs. the 49ers 😱 pic.twitter.com/rH5Y1YWWJ0 — DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) September 22, 2024 The misery for contestants did not end on Sunday, as the most selected team – the Bengals – lost at home to the Commanders. The 8-point home favorite, who 988 (25.5%) entrants picked, were upset 31-20 on Monday Night Football. In three weeks of action, Cincinnati was responsible for eliminating a total of 41.2% of the pool (5,883 contestants: 4,895 Week 1). The sweat is already on heading to Week 4 as the entrants battle for the biggest Survivor prize in history. Staff added: Week 4 has some games looking better than others including but not limited to… The 2-1 Jets (-7.0) host the 1-2 Denver Broncos. The 1-2 Cowboys (-4.5) visit the 1-2 New York Giants. The 1-2 SF 49ers (-10.5) host the 1-2 New England Patriots. The 3-0 KC Chiefs (-8.0) visit the 2-1 LA Chargers. Good luck chasing the dream! Circa Hotel and Resort in Las Vegas is the proud home of FullTime Fantasy‘s renowned Fantasy Football World Championship! ENTER OUR WEEK 4 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 4 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 4 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 4 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Waiver Wire: Week 4
Waiver Wire: Week 4 The only thing we know after three weeks is that we don’t know. The 2024 season is off to a wild start. And more injuries and ineffective players are piling up. Our Waiver Wire: Week 4
The only thing we know after three weeks is that we don’t know. The 2024 season is off to a wild start. And more injuries and ineffective players are piling up. Our Waiver Wire: Week 4 has the top adds to target ahead of the one-quarter mark.
Along with knowing who to pick up, FullTime Fantasy‘s Matchup Analyzer Tool will help you get the most out of your lineup.
Here are the low-rostered players you should consider adding ahead of the season’s third week.
Roschon Johnson (RB) Chicago Bears – D’Andre Swift ranks 82nd out of 93 running backs graded by PFF in 2024. Swift is averaging a putrid 1.7 yards after contact and has been the third-least elusive back in football. Therefore, it feels like it’s only a matter of time before Swift is benched. Johnson got 13 touches in Week 3, just three fewer than Swift. Also, Johnson produced more yards on fewer touches and was far more efficient as a runner and receiver. A proactive bid on Johnson now might secure you the Bears’ starter sooner rather than later. Subsequently, Khalil Herbert also makes sense as a proactive target in deeper leagues.
Bucky Irving (RB) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Irving highlighted last week‘s waiver wire piece. Rachaad White continues to struggle and the rookie out-snapped him in Tampa’s humiliating loss to Denver. If Irving is still available, he’s a primary add this week.
Braelon Allen (RB) New York Jets – The Jets are firmly committed to utilizing both of their outstanding young backs. Allen is still available in about 65% of leagues. However, that will change this week. Allen is among the best handcuffs in football. Additionally, he’s had standalone value in the past two games. Allen is a top-30 fantasy back through three games and needs to be a priority add where he’s un-rostered.
Jauan Jennings (WR) San Francisco 49ers – It’s important to have realistic expectations. Jennings blew up in Week 3 but…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3 Passing and scoring are down significantly after two weeks. Also, injuries have piled up. That common has fantasy managers scrambling. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3 will help you make the best decisions to get yourself a crucial victory this week. Subsequently, our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 3 will help you navigate that turbulence to pick a winning lineup this week. Additionally, FullTime Fantasy has some of the top tools of the trade and accurate rankings. Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Derek Carr (New Orleans Saints) vs. Philadelphia Derek Carr ranks fourth in fantasy points among quarterbacks, despite being 31st in pass attempts. Carr is on fire, leading the league in both Pro Football Focus’s passing grade and NFL Next Gen Stats’ completion percentage above expectation. Offensive Coordinator Klint Kubiak is pulling out all the stops with heavy use of pre-snap motion and play action, leading the league in both categories. Expect Carr to stay hot this week at home against the Eagles, whose pass defense ranks 25th in DVOA and 24th in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. Baker Mayfield (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) vs. Denver Baker Mayfield is off to a red-hot start in 2024, posting QB2 and QB5 finishes in fantasy. He currently leads all quarterbacks in total fantasy points. He’s set up for another big game this Sunday against a Broncos defense that ranks second-to-last in pass defense DVOA. The Buccaneers are projected for 23.25 points, making their offense one of the top-scoring units of the week. Sit ‘Em Dak Prescott (Dallas Cowboys) vs. Baltimore Cowboys fans, brace yourselves! Dak Prescott has struggled in his first two games, failing to top 13 fantasy points or throw for multiple touchdowns. He’s added minimal value with his legs, rushing for just 15 yards so far. He hasn’t been a threat on the ground in years. Now, he faces a Ravens defense that ranks sixth in sack rate and has allowed just two passing touchdowns. Baltimore’s defense even held Patrick Mahomes to 15 fantasy points in Week 1. With Prescott’s early struggles and the tough matchup, it might be time to look elsewhere. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) at Buffalo Trevor Lawrence has only thrown one touchdown through two games and hasn’t cracked 14 fantasy points yet. Lawrence is allergic to throwing TDs after only having 21 in 2023. His best passing yardage total is just 220, and in Week 2 he only managed 16 passing yards in the first half. The Bills’ secondary is good, allowing the third-lowest yards per attempt and ninth-lowest pass EPA in the NFL. Given Lawrence’s early-season struggles and the tough matchup, you’re better off finding another quarterback this week. Running Backs Start ‘Em Zack Moss (Cincinnati Bengals) vs. Washington Zack Moss’s fantasy production hasn’t exploded yet, but it’s going to happen. He’s out-touched Chase Brown 21 to seven in carries and five to three in targets. Moss is primed for a breakout in Week 3, as the Bengals are 7.5-point favorites at home against the Commanders, who are getting gashed by RBs. Tony Pollard (Tennessee Titans) vs. Green Bay Tony Pollard is sitting at RB12 so far this season. He’s been a workhorse, ranking in the top 10 for both rushing attempts and targets. Meanwhile, Tyjae Spears is dealing with an injury and missed practice time this week. Pollard will face a Green Bay Packers defense that has given up the seventh-most fantasy points to running backs this season. Sit ‘Em D’Andre Swift (Chicago Bears) at Indianapolis D’Andre Swift’s season is off to a sluggish start, averaging just 2.0 yards per carry, tied for the lowest among backs with at least 20 attempts. He’s been hit behind the line of scrimmage on 37.5% of his runs, the highest rate among backs with that volume. While the Colts have allowed the most rushing yards this season, they’ve also faced the highest number of attempts. With the Colts favored Swift might struggle to turn his opportunities into meaningful fantasy points this week. Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Los Angeles Chargers Najee Harris has been the Steelers’ leadback through two games, but his stats are underwhelming. He has yet to score more than 8.9 PPR points, and Jaylen Warren played more snaps than Harris in Week 2. The Chargers haven’t allowed a rushing touchdown yet, and Harris doesn’t figure to see much work in the passing game. Finally, if he doesn’t find the end zone, his fantasy output will be limited. He’s a flex play at best this week. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seattle Seahawks) vs. Miami After a quiet Week 1, Jaxon Smith-Njigba broke out in Week 2 against the Patriots, hauling in 12 catches for 117 yards on 16 targets. Hopefully, this continues especially with DK Metcalf continuing to dominate. Smith-Njigba enters Week 3 as a potential WR2 against the Dolphins. Look for the Seahawks’ passing attack, led by Geno Smith, to continue leaning on Metcalf and Smith-Njigba. Dionte Johnson (Carolina Panthers) vs. Las Vegas Dionte Johnson’s first two weeks have been rough, with just five catches for 34 yards on 12 targets. However, things could turn around in Week 3 as the Panthers switch to Andy Dalton at quarterback in place of Bryce Young. Facing the Raiders, who have allowed at least one wide receiver to score 14.9 PPR points in every game this season, Johnson could rebound as a WR3 in fantasy lineups this week. If Andy Dalton can even run a functional offense, Johnson can turn his season around. Sit ‘Em Xavier Worthy (Kansas City Chiefs) at Atlanta Xavier Worthy may be the Chiefs’ No. 2 receiver, but he’s only played in under 70% of their snaps and has just two catches along with a single carry in each of the first two games. The Chiefs are 3.5-point favorites this week, and they may opt to run the ball more even without Pacheco. Worthy is also dealing with a
Week 3 NFL Player Props
Week 3 NFL Player Props Week 2 is in the books and Week 3 is underway as the New York Jets look to extend their winning streak against AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in primetime on Thursday Night
Week 3 NFL Player Props
Week 2 is in the books and Week 3 is underway as the New York Jets look to extend their winning streak against AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in primetime on Thursday Night Football. Last week, we weren’t as profitable as in Week 1. But we still came away in the green due to our multiple units on Joe Burrow. After a 6-1 Week 1 record, we went 3-3 in Week 2 but gained 1.45 Units. We are now 9-4 (+6.3 Units) on the young season. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum heading into Week 3 of the NFL season!
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 3 NFL prop bets!
Breece Hall Anytime Touchdown (-165)
Breece has scored a touchdown in each of his first two contests of the young season and although he’s facing a stingy New England Patriots run defense, the offense will continue to run through Hall. Yes, Braelon Allen found the end zone twice last week but Hall has seen 21 touches in each of his first matchups of the season, and we all know that volume is king.
Hall faced New England twice in his rookie campaign. The first time, he was held in check with just 18 scoreless rushing yards and a lone reception for nine yards. But that was just his third game as an NFL pro. Later in the season when the Jets faced the Patriots for a second time, Hall shredded the defense. The stud running back tallied 178 rushing yards on 37 carries and found the end zone. Additionally, he caught two passes for 12 yards.
Aaron Rodgers has been using Hall substantially in the short passing game so Hall has a chance to find the end zone not just as a rusher but also as a receiver. Last week, he hauled in a 26-yard touchdown reception where he looked more like a receiver than a running back. The kid has serious skills and great hands. Given that the Jets are heavy favorites in their first home game of the season, I like Hall’s chances of punching it into the end zone. The value could be better but I expect Hall to…
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Week 3 Sleepers
Week 3 Sleepers, Potential-Emergent Players, and Opportunistic Plays This article is contributed by Brad Kruse This column is NOT intended to provide Week 3 waiver claims lists. Instead, the purpose is to look at young players whose opportunities could be emerging and should be monitored. I will also look at potential injury replacement players, but I will try to not focus on the obvious choices for this week’s slate of games as that is covered elsewhere on the sight. My goal is to help look around corners for the season which might give some ideas for pre-emptive adds to your roster. Young Running Backs and Their Opportunity Status Braelon Allen: The big story of week 2 concerning these young RBs was Allen’s surprise opportunity. He carried the ball seven times for 33 yards and a TD and added two receptions for 23 yards and another TD. He’s graduated from premium handcuff to a flex or RB2 candidate. He’s officially emerged. Bucky Irving: Through two games, Irving has 16 rush attempts for 84 yards (5.3 yards/carry) and has caught two of his three targets for 14 yards. He will be worked in as White continues to disappoint on the ground (25 carries for 49 yards or 1.96 yards/carry). But Rachaad White continues to excel in the passing game with 7 receptions for 80 yards and a 14% target share). Irving could give you a non-zero number at RB2 right now if you went with a Zero RB strategy, but time will tell if he can eat into White’s passing game usage. Jaylen Wright: There was some hope to see what Wright could do with Mostert OUT in week 2 and Wright active. But it was mostly the Achane show. Wright’s potential emergence will be on HOLD for now. Blake Corum: Corum got some mop-up action this week, but the Rams’ offensive line has been decimated with injuries along with their two-star wide receivers. Barring an injury to Kyren Williams, Corum will be in a holding pattern as well. Tank Bigsby: Bigsby has looked better this year. He did suffer a shoulder injury although he officially returned to the game but didn’t see any action as D’Ernest Johnson took over the RB2 role. We’ll see if Bigsby is healthy enough for week 3. Marshawn Lloyd: Lloyd got on the field, but then injured his ankle and is now on IR. This will keep the door open for Emanuel Wilson who has 9 carries for 55 yards through two games. With the Packers playing run-heavy game scripts with Jordan Love on the mend, Wilson is a name that could be a stopgap for some lineups. Carson Steele: Pacheco is now on IR and talk is he may miss up to six weeks. Samaje Perine could be the better fantasy play as he has been used in passing downs by the Chiefs so far. The Chiefs also signed Kareem Hunt. It’s unclear how much he has in the tank. For now, consider Steele a short yardage back that will get some early down action. He’ll have the highest ceiling of the players that are in the RB room right now, just due to the fact it’s unknown, but it’s also hard to believe they fully trust him in pass protection and two-minute drill situations. Breakout Wide Receivers Jalen McMillan: McMillan was relatively quiet again, but the skillset is there. He’s behind solid veterans in Evans and Godwin and White is used a lot in the passing game so it may take some time for him to emerge, but the talent is there. Adonai Mitchell: Mitchell has a similar problem with McMillan. His offense isn’t generating enough targets for his role. He’ll likely have some boom games but will be tough to trust until Richardson becomes more efficient passing the ball. Malik Washington: Two of Tua’s interceptions seemed to be caused by miscues with WRs not named Hill or Waddle. This would seem to indicate that Washington will have an opportunity when healthy; however, Tua is on IR with a concussion so it’s uncertain when he will return. That will shrink the offense. Jaxon Smith-Njigba: JSN delivered in week 2 catching 12 of 16 targets for 117 yards. He should be a foundational piece of that offense. Alec Pierce: Pierce has been the beneficiary of Anthony Richardson’s tendency for the long passes and inaccuracy in the short range. Pierce as the field stretcher has caught 8 balls in two games resulting in 2 TDs. This trend could stick. Be careful with Josh Downs nearing a return to see how this wide receiver rotation evolves. Ja’Lynn Polk: Polk had a much better week 2 and seems firmly in the receiver rotation. It will probably take a Drake Maye entrance to unlock him as right now the Patriots are trying to win games with their defense and rushing attack. Jordan Whittington: Whittington started seeing more opportunities as Cooper Kupp exited the game injured. Week 3 could give us a sign of life from Whittington, but this Rams unit is banged up. He’s a decent stash to see if something is there. Dontayvion Wicks: He flashed great efficiency as a rookie, then put in a dud in week 1. He did catch a TD in week 2, but the offense is too run-heavy to trust. However, when Love returns Wicks will end up on rosters in every league. Young Tight Ends Brock Bowers: Bowers turned in a 9 rec 98-yard effort and is officially on overall TE1 watch. It is an uphill battle for him to get there. But he’s in everybody’s top-6 TEs right now and has been the most consistent TE scorer so far. Tucker Kraft: Like most Green Bay receiving weapons, Kraft will have to wait until Love returns before he is unlocked. However, he seems to have locked down the TE1 role in Green Bay ENTER OUR WEEK 3 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator.
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 3
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 3 Last week’s AFC East showdown boasted a ton of fantasy potential. Conversely, this New England Patriots vs. New York Jets rivalry game looks less appealing. The FullTime Fantasy Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 3 looks at all the fantasy-relevant players to forecast the game. The Patriots got an upset win on the road in their opener. However, they weren’t able to get much going at home versus Seattle last week. Now traveling on a short week to face a tough Jets’ defense is another obstacle. Meanwhile, New York is coming off of a victory but has mostly struggled to move the ball. The Jets are winning games with an old-school mentality. With the Patriots struggling to pass and produce touchdowns, we are looking at a low-scoring slugfest type of game. New York opened as a touchdown favorite at home. The line dipped by just a half-point. However, the total plummeted down to 39 after opening at 42.5. Matchup TEAM OFFENSE PASS RUSH YDS/PLAY POINTS New England Patriots 20 29 5 25 20 New York Jets 27 22 26 20 15 The raw data backs up that low total. Other than the Patriots doing an excellent job rushing the ball, neither of these squads stand out on offense. Offensive line play is a reason why. New England’s front five has the fourth-lowest pass-blocking grade per PFF. And despite the success running the ball, the Patriots only rank 26th in run-blocking. Conversely, the Jets rank 10th in run-blocking and 24th in pass protection. Only the Ravens have allowed fewer rushing yards than the Patriots. Points will be at a premium in this one. New England Offense Through two games, Jacoby Brissett ranks 29th in fantasy points. He has been held under 150 passing yards in both games. Additionally, Brissett doesn’t add much value with his legs. Facing a Jets defense that ranks ninth in limiting fantasy points to quarterbacks is a daunting task. Brissett is +850 to rush for a touchdown. Also, his passing/rushing yards total of 181.5 hampers the entire New England passing attack. This is not an offense to target. However, the ground game looks solid. Rhamondre Stevenson ranks eighth in fantasy points. Stevenson is top-5 in carries and rushing yards and ranks sixth with a 75.6% snap share. Facing a Jets’ defense that ranks 24th against the run puts Stevenson in a solid position to approach RB1 numbers. Don’t overreact to Antonio Gibson’s Week 2 performance. Gibson played just 16 snaps. He may have earned more playing time moving forward. However, until he gets more consistent snaps, Gibson is little more than a fledgling flex option in deep leagues. New England doesn’t throw enough to their receivers to warrant redraft attention. No Patriots’ wideout is projected to top 22 yards. Ja’Lynn Polk leads the group in fantasy points. But Polk’s 10.8 fantasy points ranks 69th at the position. K.J. Osborn leads the receiving corps in snap share (68.4%) and has a solid 17% snap share. However, Osborn has only accumulated four grabs for 28 yards in two games. Demario Douglas will man the slot but has only caught two balls for 12 yards. The only Patriot pass-catcher worth targeting is TE Hunter Henry. Henry is coming off a robust 8/109/0 line on 12 targets vs. Seattle. However, this week’s matchup is tougher. The Jets held George Kittle to 40 yards and will undoubtedly make stopping Henry a priority. Henry’s receiving line total of 31.5 for this game is concerning. New York Offense Aaron Rodgers enters this game ranked 21st in fantasy points. He is relying on quick/short throws, resulting in a career-low 6.8 ADOT. Meanwhile, the Patriots have only allowed one touchdown pass. However, that came last week when Geno Smith looked fine throwing for 327 yards. Rodgers no longer runs and his passing over/under for this contest is 214 yards. Only the Texans and Ravens have allowed fewer rushing yards to running backs than New England. Still, Breece Hall is tied for the position lead with 14 targets and ranks fourth in fantasy points. The last time he faced this defense, Hall turned 39 touches into 190 yards and a score. Braelon Allen made the most of his 20 snaps last week. However, he’ll find the going tougher against a Patriots’ defense that ranks 10th against running backs. Allen should be viewed as a high-risk DFS option in single-game slates. WR Garrett Wilson has disappointed. The volume has not been there and Wilson ranks just 34th in fantasy points. However, the Patriots just got worked over by Seattle. They’ve surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points to wideouts. Wilson will see plenty of Christian Gonzales in coverage, but his +145 TD odds and receiving line of 5.5/66.5 look good. Mike Williams was up to 37 snaps in Week 2. However, Williams is still recovering from last year’s knee injury. He’s little more than a boom-or-bust DFS flier for now. Williams has a yardage prop of 23.5 yards and is +490 to score. Allen Lazard fell off after his explosive showing in the opener. Lazard’s TD and yardage odds are higher than Williams’s, indicating that he is considered New York’s No. 2. TE Tyler Conklin is playing 93% of snaps but has little production to show for all the playing time. Conklin has garnered just four targets and is averaging fewer fantasy points per game than Andrew Ogletree and MyCole Pruitt. Prediction & Best Bet Easy W taking the Bills last week. Buffalo has dominated the Dolphins. However, this matchup is tougher. In January, the Jets finally ended a 15-game losing streak to the Patriots with a 17-3 victory at Foxborough. The last time New York beat New England at home was in December 2015. As one-sided as this rivalry has been, the Jets have failed to cover in six of their last seven. However, none of those games were with Aaron Rodgers under center. Having a credible signal-caller makes a huge difference. Meanwhile,