Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 6
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 6 The year of the injuries strikes again. And making matters worse, Week 6 is a rough bye-week slate with the Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins, and Vikings unavailable. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 6 will help you dig deep to find the optimal starts and sits to consider. Subsequently, our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 6 will help you navigate that turbulence to pick a winning lineup this week. Additionally, FullTime Fantasy has some of the top tools of the trade and accurate rankings. Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Justin Fields (Pittsburgh Steelers) at Las Vegas Raiders Fields has kicked off this season in impressive form, sitting 11th among quarterbacks with 18.1 fantasy points per game. The Raiders play man coverage at the eighth-highest rate in the league and have struggled against deep throws, allowing a 53.7% completion rate on such passes, the seventh-highest in the NFL. They’ve also forced incompletions on just 11.1% of those plays, ranking among the worst in the league. Fields has been great against man coverage this season. Caleb Williams (Chicago Bears) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Williams is coming off his best game yet, posting 304 yards and two touchdowns through the air while adding 34 yards on the ground, finishing with 23.6 fantasy points against Carolina. He faces a fantastic matchup against a Jaguars defense that has given up more fantasy points per game to quarterbacks than any other team. Though the game being in London might cause a little hesitation, Williams’ form and this juicy matchup make him a strong play. Sit ‘Em Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets) at Buffalo Bills Rodgers is only a starting consideration in Superflex or two-quarterback leagues this week against the Bills. The Jets are in a bit of chaos after firing head coach Robert Saleh, and while that could pay off down the line, it’s not likely to help Rodgers much in this tough matchup. Buffalo has been stingy, allowing only one quarterback to top 17 fantasy points this season. Rodgers himself has only passed 19 points once this year, and his recent performances against Denver and Minnesota have combined for just 27 points. Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars) at Chicago Bears Lawrence just had his best game of the season with 371 passing yards and two touchdowns against the Colts, but that performance says more about Indy’s defense than it does about Lawrence. In his other four games, he’s averaged just 182 yards and 12.2 fantasy points per game. The Bears defense has given up the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks, with only two passing touchdowns allowed and six interceptions. Running Backs Start ‘Em Chase Brown (Cincinnati Bengals) at New York Giants Chase Brown’s potential is climbing, especially if Zack Moss (ankle) sits out against the Giants this week. Moss missed Wednesday’s practice. That is a positive sign for Brown’s opportunity. Brown has shown what he’s capable of over the past two games, racking up at least 15 touches in each contest and scoring at least 16 PPR points both times. Three running backs have already managed to score at least 13 PPR points against the Giants this season. Even if Moss plays, Brown is emerging as a key figure in the Bengals’ backfield and could be taking control for good. Chuba Hubbard (Carolina Panthers) vs. Atlanta Falcons Since Andy Dalton took over as the Panthers’ quarterback, Hubbard has become a top-seven fantasy running back for three consecutive weeks. His value will dip significantly once Jonathon Brooks returns to the lineup, but Brooks hasn’t started practicing yet, so it’s unlikely he’ll be active this week. The Panthers have the third-best matchup for running backs this week, as they go up against a vulnerable Atlanta Falcons defense. Sit ‘Em Jerome Ford (Cleveland Browns) at Philadelphia Eagles Ford has delivered at least 15 PPR points in two games this season, but he’s also failed to crack 10 points in three other contests, including last week’s game against Washington. Nick Chubb’s status for Week 6 is still up in the air, but if Chubb doesn’t play, Ford will get the start. That said, his matchup against the Eagles is a tough one, as Philadelphia has only given up one touchdown to a running back this season. I suggested Ford as a start last week, not this time. Rico Dowdle (Dallas Cowboys) vs. Detroit Lions It’s tempting to chase Dowdle after his 20-point fantasy explosion last week but don’t be fooled. The Cowboys running back benefited from a favorable, rain-soaked game against the Steelers where he had 22 touches. However, this week, he faces the Lions, who have been the stingiest team in the league against running backs, allowing the fewest rushing and receiving yards to the position. Zeke has also been a squeaky wheel about getting red zone touches so Rico could see less work in that area moving forward. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Darnell Mooney (Atlanta Falcons) at Carolina Panthers Mooney has been outstanding this season, and Week 6 presents another prime opportunity as he faces the Panthers. He has posted at least 14 PPR points in three of his last four games, including a massive Week 5 performance against Tampa Bay, where he notched nine catches for 105 yards and two touchdowns on 16 targets. Carolina has already allowed six receivers to score at least 17.5 PPR points this season. On the road against the Panthers’ defense, Mooney will continue his hot streak. Diontae Johnson (Carolina Panthers) vs. Atlanta Falcons Johnson has been a reliable fantasy asset, ranking ninth in points among wide receivers since Andy Dalton took over at quarterback. After struggling last week against Jaylon Johnson, one of the league’s top cornerbacks, he now faces A.J. Terrell, who is far less daunting with the 48th-ranked coverage grade among cornerbacks. Johnson is in a good position to bounce back. Sit ‘Em Christian Kirk (Jacksonville Jaguars) at Chicago Bears Kirk has been heavily involved in recent weeks, but with
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 6
Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 6 We had some fireworks in Week 5. That set a high bar that will be hard for the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks to top. However, this NFC West showdown still has high
We had some fireworks in Week 5. That set a high bar that will be hard for the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks to top. However, this NFC West showdown still has high potential with plenty of fantasy ramifications. Our Thursday Night Football Preview: Week 6 breaks down everything you need to know.
Matchup
| TEAM | OFFENSE | PASS | RUSH | YDS/PLAY | POINTS |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 7 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 10 |
These NFC West games always bring it. This week looks particularly interesting as both squads can move the ball well and score points.
San Francisco enters this game at 2-3 after a crushing 1-point home loss to the Cardinals. The Niners can pass and run with the best of them. However, their defense has slipped. Returning to 500 won’t be easy on short rest traveling to one of the NFL’s toughest venues.
Meanwhile, the Seahawks had their own letdown here at Lumen Field last Sunday. Seattle’s defense allowed the Giants to rack up 420 yards and 24 first downs in a 29-20 upset. Now, the pressure is on to quickly move on against their hated division rivals.
The opening line for this game was quite surprising, with the Seahawks being 5.5-point underdogs. However, early movement on Seattle has dropped that down to 3.5.
Additionally, the total has risen two full points to 49.
San Francisco Offense
San Francisco is top in the league in both passing and rushing. QB Brock Purdy’s 1,374 passing yards rank fourth. However, Purdy…
How will Thursday’s 49ets vs. Seahawks game go?
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Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 6
Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 6 FullTime Fantasy has been synonymous with accurate fantasy football rankings for years. Our rankings have garnered numerous industry accolades, with several top-5 finishes in season-long, weekly, and even sports betting accuracy. This is the home of Jody Smith’s Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 6. Ranking You Can Trust Our staff was ranked No. 1 in 2022, with not one but TWO analysts inside the top 10. With proven projections and former FantasyPro’s Most Accurate Expert Jody Smith, FullTime Fantasy Members get instant access to reliable and trustworthy weekly rankings. Jody also ranks inside the top 10 at FantasyPros for multi-year accuracy. That makes his combined draft and weekly rankings one of the most accurate and reliable in the business. Additionally, Jody and Adam Krautwurst co-host the FullTime Fantasy Podcast, which is live-streamed weekly on YouTube. The guys are also active in the FullTime Fantasy Discord channel, helping answer all fantasy and sports betting inquiries. Fantasy Football Rankings: Week 6 ENTER OUR WEEK 6 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: First, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Second, try to stack the team with players you think will do well in Week 6! The highest Week 6 score wins! (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 6 Player Rankings to help. It’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one! Finally, just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard! Also, the Grand Prize Winner (the highest individual week of the season) can choose from the amazing prizes below. Also, if you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! Finally, MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 6 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Week 6 Sleepers & Emerging Players
Week 6 Sleepers, Potential-Emergent Players, and Opportunistic Plays This article is contributed by Brad Kruse This column is NOT intended to provide Week 6 waiver claims lists. Instead, the purpose is to look at young players whose opportunity could emerge and should be monitored. I will also look at potential injury replacement players, but I will try not to focus on the obvious choices for this week’s slate of games as that is covered elsewhere on the sight. My goal is to help look around corners for the season which might give some ideas for pre-emptive adds to your roster. Now that we have five weeks in the books, I can start extrapolating on statistics more reliably. Young Running Backs and Their Opportunity Status Chase Brown: Brown again outperformed Zack Moss on the ground in week 5. Moss also got injured and is uncertain if he’ll play in week 6 right now. Brown’s opportunity is here to grow his market share of opportunities in the running game for the Bengals. Carson Steele: Steele received some short yardage work for the Chiefs in Week 5, but Hunt took over the rushing role with Samaje Perine mixed in on third downs and in the 2-minute offense. Braelon Allen: The Jets’ rushing attack has stalled the last two weeks. They need to figure out why these two elite running backs behind a seemingly improved offensive line can’t generate yards and the line can’t open up rushing lanes. Roschon Johnson: Johnson scored on two short-yardage rushing plays this week. He’s far behind D’Andre Swift in the offense which has shifted to using Swift in the passing game where his skill set is best used. Johnson could be a spot starter for you with his role but don’t expect huge fantasy days. Jaylen Wright: Raheem Mostert returned in Week 5, but Achane went out with an injury. Wright led the backfield in rushing with 86 yards. His numbers seem to improve each week and he had 6.6 yards per carry in week 5. We’ll see if Achane can return during week 6 and what role Wright will have in the backfield. I’m anxious to see how he’s used and how he performs when Tua returns to the QB position here. Tank Bigsby: Bigsby is playing great this year. He had 13 carries for 101 yards on the ground including 2 TDs. His 7.8 yards per carry is eye-opening. He also had one catch for 28 yards. There are rumors that the Jags have put Travis Etienne on the trade block. If Etienne were to be traded, Bigsby would get a huge usage lift. Young Breakout Receivers Second-Year Players Jayden Reed: Week 5 saw Reed run 75% of the routes and collect 4 receptions for 78 scoreless yards. He added two carries for 19 yards rushing. Reed’s six targets represented a 27% targets per route run performance which is what you want for your starting receivers. His 3.55 yards per route run was elite. Adding a touchdown to his performance would have been nicer, of course, but the advanced metrics continue to point to Reed being a player you want in re-draft and dynasty. Rashee Rice: We now have the results of the preliminary surgery, and it sounds like Rice has a six-month recovery ahead of him, but the prognosis for him to return to form is good. Unfortunately, it looks like we now are on suspension watch for 2025 with Rice as his 2024 time is done. Dontayvion Wicks: Wicks did not put in a fantasy day to remember to write home about, but his underlying metrics were strong. He didn’t get to the coveted 70% route participation rate; he came in at 62%. He did have a 33% targets per route run. Unfortunately, he only caught two of the targets as he leads the receivers in drops so far this year. That yielded a disappointing 1.11 yards per route run performance. He’s getting open, he needs to correct those drops to become a staple in people’s lineups. Zay Flowers: Flowers delivered in week 5 running 85% of the routes while earning a 30% targets per route run metric and 2.78 yards per route run. These are all solid numbers that contributed to his seven-catch, 111-yard day. Flowers is likely a matchup play based on expected game script. Against teams that the Ravens will likely attack with Derrick Henry and the running game, Flowers’ output might be muted. But, if they are likely to be more pass-heavy, Flowers is the focal point of the attack. Jaxon Smith-Njigba: JSN delivered four receptions for 31 yards and a TD vs the Giants in Week 5. He only achieved a 16% targets per route run and 0.72 yards per route run. The TD saved his fantasy day. There will be better matchups for JSN going forward. Jordan Addison: The Vikings struggled against the Jets in London. Addison only managed three receptions for 38 yards on eight targets. He participated in 91.6% of the routes and earned a 25% targets per route run rating. Unfortunately, the Jets held him to 1.06 yards per target. The Jets have potentially the top pair of cornerbacks in the league. Better days will come. Josh Downs: Downs flourished with Joe Flacco under center. He was third on the team with a 68% route participation and earned a 35% TPRR rating. He delivered a strong 2.03 yards per route run performance on nine receptions for 69 yards. Adonai Mitchell: Mitchell is a good dynasty asset, but is currently buried on the depth chart in Indy. With Anthony Richardson at QB, there isn’t the volume. But, Mitchell may eventually fight his way into a stronger share of routes and if QB play is more traditional, his underlying metrics are tough to ignore. In Week 5, he had 58% targets per route run and 3.18 yards per route run. Unfortunately, he only ran 24% of the routes. Demario Douglas: Douglas was second to Polk with a
Target & Touch Leaders Week 5
Target & Touch Leaders Week 5 Opportunity is everything in fantasy football. Looking beyond the box score to see what players are earning crucial targets and touches is integral. Our weekly Target & Touch Leaders Week 5 breaks down those
Opportunity is everything in fantasy football. Looking beyond the box score to see what players are earning crucial targets and touches is integral. Our weekly Target & Touch Leaders Week 5 breaks down those opportunities in a user-friendly way. Having this data can help fantasy football managers make informed decisions for Week 6 and beyond.
FullTime Fantasy Members will have access to this invaluable data every Tuesday. Subsequently, they will have a heads-up on making waiver wire claims.
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Week 5 Target Leaders
Overall Target Leaders
Overall Target Share Leaders…
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Injury Report: Week 6
Injury Report: Week 6 The latest crop of injuries included the NFL’s leading receiver and other notable fantasy contributors. 2024 will be remembered as the Injurypocalypse. Our Injury Report: Week 6 catches you up on the latest and how it impacts fantasy football for this week and beyond. Also, a great starting point for staying updated on the latest injuries is to bookmark our NFL Injury Report. Finally, FullTime Fantasy Members will get the latest NFL injury news and advice live each Sunday and Thursday in the FullTime Fantasy Discord. Click below to join us today! Nico Collins (WR) Houston Texans – Fantasy’s top wideout is week-to-week. Collins injured his hamstring after reeling in a long TD grab against the Bills. Unfortunately, hamstring injuries tend to linger, so we don’t expect Collins to be active in Week 6. Aaron Jones (RB) Minnesota Vikings – Jones is week-to-week with a hip injury. The Vikings have a Week 6 bye, so that gives Jones two full weeks to recover. However, a proactive waiver wire add of Ty Chandler makes sense for Jones managers. Travis Etienne (RB) Jacksonville Jaguars – A nagging shoulder ailment caused Etienne to be sidelined at the end of Jacksonville’s win. This helped lead directly to Tank Bigsby’s breakout performance. Also, it could result in Bigsby commanding more touches, leading to a split backfield. A.J. Brown & DeVonta Smith (WR) Philadelphia Eagles – Following their Week 5 bye, the Eagles are expected to have both of their top wideouts back for this week’s home game against the Browns. De’Von Achane (RB) Miami Dolphins – Achane suffered a concussion early in Miami’s Week 5 victory in New England. He must clear the league’s concussion protocol before he can return. That typically takes 1-2 weeks. Our early lean is to expect Achane to miss Week 6. Evan Engram (TE) Jacksonville Jaguars – Engram was “close” to returning last week. However, he sat out for one more week. Doug Pederson opined that Engram is likely to suit up in Week 6. Derek Carr (QB) New Orleans Saints – Carr left Monday’s loss with an oblique injury. Initial reports indicate the diagnosis is “not good.” UPDATE: Carr will miss multiple weeks. That puts Jake Haener or Spencer Rattler under center for the fading Saints. Sources to me and @RapSheet: #Saints QB Derek Carr is expected to miss multiple games with an oblique injury he suffered against the #Chiefs. New Orleans has two games in the next nine days, and the likelihood is Carr misses Sun vs. the #Buccaneers and Thurs vs. the #Broncos. pic.twitter.com/njLCXJuSA6 — Mike Garafolo (@MikeGarafolo) October 8, 2024 Davante Adams (WR) Las Vegas Raiders – Absent with a “hamstring injury,” don’t expect Adams back in Week 6. I think Adams has played his final down with the Raiders and expect him to be dealt. Joe Mixon (RB) Houston Texans – A sprained ankle still hampers Mixon. DeMeco Ryans told the Houston media that Mixon’s status for Week 6 is up in the air. Therefore, we will have to monitor his practice participation all week. For now, consider Mixon unlikely to play. Rashee Rice (WR) Kansas City Chiefs – Rice underwent successful LCL surgery on Tuesday. His 2024 season is over. Zack Moss (RB) Cincinnati Bengals – Per NBC Sports, Moss avoided a major ankle injury and is “believed to be ok.” We’ll monitor his practice participation. But for now, it is good news. Khalil Shakir (WR) Buffalo Bills – Shakir is day-to-day with an ankle injury that forced him to miss Week 5. David Njoku (TE) Cleveland Browns – After missing three games with an ankle injury, Njoku was limited to just 26 snaps before exiting Week 5 with a knee injury. That makes Njoku highly unlikely to suit up this week. Xavier Legette (WR) Carolina Panthers – Legette injured his shoulder in the second quarter of Week 5. He did not return. However, the injury is not serious. Will Levis (QB) Tennessee Titans – Levis had a week off to heal his AC joint injury. For now, we’re expecting Levis to be under center this week. However, that does NOT mean he’s a recommended play. Jake Moody (PK) San Francisco 49ers – Moody will miss multiple weeks with a high-ankle sprain. The 49ers subsequently signed Matthew Wright to fill in. ENTER OUR WEEK 6 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 6 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 6 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 6 TEAM and enter the REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Circa Survivor Report: Week 5
Circa Survivor Report: Week 5 CIRCA SURVIVOR WEEK 5: UPSETS LEAVE LESS 2% OF POOL ALIVE The madness ruling the NFL landscape continued in Week 5, as the ultimate ‘kiss of death’ of choosing the most popular selections KO’d 51.2% of the remaining Circa Survivor NFL $1,000 entry fee contest. Overall, 233 entrants were eliminated from winning a share of the life-changing prize. Contestants heavily invested in both touchdown-plus home favorites Seattle and San Francisco. However, for the fourth time in five weeks, the most-selected choice was a bad move as Seattle was upset to the dismay of 160 entrants. Seahawks suffer their second consecutive loss at the hands of the Giants! pic.twitter.com/kyw4h7tDn5 — FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 6, 2024 Playing without both starting WR Malik Nabers and RB Devin Singletary, 33.3% of the pool faded a struggling Giants squad. However, the extremely short-handed Giants went into Lumen Field and shocked Geno Smith and the Seahawks 29-20. San Francisco was the second-most selected team as 86 entries selected Brock Purdy and the 49ers to beat Arizona at home. The @AZCardinals stun the 49ers on the road! 😤 pic.twitter.com/qQCQY9hnbE — FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 6, 2024 However, the 49ers allowed James Conner and Kyler Murray to run for 169 yards and a touchdown on the ground, dashing the dreams of 17.9% of contestants. After being pummeled 42-14 last week by Washington, Arizona rebounded for a 24-23 come-from-behind win, proving once again that parity is the story of the 2024 NFL. After five weeks, only 221 (0.15%) of the starting 14,266 entries remain alive.’ Kansas City wins against New Orleans so nothing changes in the Circa Survivor contest! That officially concludes Week 5. 259 entries total got clipped this week putting the pool at just 221 entries #CircaSports #CircaSurvivor #SurvivorSweat pic.twitter.com/a1aOiweKd7 — Survivor Sweat (@SurvivorSweat) October 8, 2024 The anxiety will ratchet up to another level in Week 6 for the surviving entrants as Kansas City, Los Angeles Rams, Miami, and Minnesota are on bye. The Circa Survivor contest is a grueling contest which forces entrants to pick one winner every week, with no spread with one pivotal caveat. Entrants CAN NOT use the same team more than once during the course of the season. In the race for $14,266,000 – the biggest Survivor prize in history – those who will be competing in Week 6 will likely be heavily backing: Houston (-7) at New England and Philadelphia (-9) vs Cleveland. If those teams are unavailable to be used, things could get very tricky as 10 of the 14 games (71.4%) on the slate have a point spread of 4.5 points or less. We could potentially be looking at less than 1% of the pool alive after just six weeks of NFL action – something no one could ever have imagined. Circa Hotel and Resort in Las Vegas is the proud home of FullTime Fantasy‘s renowned Fantasy Football World Championship! ENTER OUR WEEK 6 DRAFT CONTEST! How it Works: Firstly, draft your team using our On-Demand Simulator. Next, try to stack the team with players you think will do well this week. Finally, the highest Week 6 Score wins. (PLUS: You get to see the Thursday Night game and then draft!) Here’s our Week 5 Player Rankings to help. Firstly, it’s a best-ball contest, so no need to submit a lineup. We’ll optimize the best one. Secondly, you just sit back and watch your team climb the leaderboard. Weekly Prizes and a Grand Prize at the end of the season! Finally, the Grand Prize Winner (highest individual week of the season) gets to choose from the amazing prizes below. If you don’t know just how awesome and amazing the Panini Flawless Football briefcase is, make sure and watch the video starting at the 8-minute mark! Trading cards are back! MEMBER PERK! Fulltime Members get 5 Free On-Demand Drafts each month in our contest! DRAFT YOUR WEEK 6 TEAM and enter your REDEMPTION CODE you received by email.
Waiver Wire: Week 6
Waiver Wire: Week 6 One-third of the fantasy season is already behind us. Bye weeks are here to make an already challenging season even more difficult. These mid-season games are crucial and our Waiver Wire: Week 6 will keep you
One-third of the fantasy season is already behind us. Bye weeks are here to make an already challenging season even more difficult. These mid-season games are crucial and our Waiver Wire: Week 6 will keep you ahead of the game.
Along with knowing who to pick up, FullTime Fantasy‘s Matchup Analyzer Tool will help you get the most out of your lineup.
Here are the low-rostered players you should consider adding before Week 6.
Week 6 BYES: Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings
Tank Bigsby (RB) Jacksonville Jaguars – After a forgettable rookie campaign, it’s finally Tank #SZN! Despite playing just 13.2 snaps per game, Bigsby is outplaying Travis Etienne. In Jacksonville’s last two games, Bigsby has turned 21 touches into 219 scrimmage yards and a touchdown. Meanwhile, Etienne has received 24 touches during the stretch and accumulated 120 yards. Additionally, Tank out-snapped ETN in Jacksonville’s Week 5 victory. This looks like a split backfield and the way Bigsby is…
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Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 5 NFL Player Props Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we
Week 5 NFL Player Props
Week 4 was our first unprofitable week of the season. After beginning the year with three consecutive successful betting weekends, a 2-5 record last week brought us down to +3.2 Units. Let’s see if we can get back in the winning column with our Week 5 NFL Player Props. We are now 16-11 in the young season.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 5 NFL Player Props!
Jordan Love OVER 257.5 Passing Yards (-110)
The Los Angeles Rams’ defense has struggled across the board, but their pass defense is especially concerning. They’ve allowed the most yards per completion (12.6) and air yards per attempt (10.3) in the league, and now they face Jordan Love, who ranks fourth among all quarterbacks in average depth of target.
After missing Weeks 2 and 3, Love returned last Sunday, shaking off a slow first half to rack up 389 passing yards by the end of the game—following up his 260-yard performance against the Eagles in Week 1. Love and the Packers are primed for another big outing, and they get a bonus boost from the Rams’ defensive scheme. According to Pro Football Focus, the Rams run zone defense at the eighth-highest rate in the NFL, but they rank 28th or worse in defensive success rate, yards per reception, and yards allowed per coverage snap when in zone.
Green Bay excels against zone defenses, and their wide receivers—Jayden Reed, Dontayvion Wicks, and Romeo Doubs—are thriving. All three are in the Top 25 in yards per catch vs. zone and in the Top 30 in yards per route run against zone coverage, making them a dangerous trio for this matchup.
The only real threat to this passing total is if the Packers open up a huge lead and go run-heavy, but with their defense also struggling, this game could stay competitive enough for Love to keep airing it out all four quarters…
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Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 5
Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 5 Bye weeks have arrived to complicate matter for fantasy managers. Additionally, Week 4 brought the latest crop of injuries in what is shaping up to be a disastrous season. Our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 5 will help you determine which players make good fill-ins, and which ones to avoid. Subsequently, our Fantasy Football Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 5 will help you navigate that turbulence to pick a winning lineup this week. Additionally, FullTime Fantasy has some of the top tools of the trade and accurate rankings. Quarterbacks Start ‘Em Justin Fields (Chicago Bears) vs. Carolina Panthers Justin Fields delivered a massive 32 fantasy points in his last game, the highest for any quarterback this season. He ranks seventh among his peers with a strong 78.1 PFF passing grade. This week, Fields is up against the Dallas Cowboys, which may not be the most favorable matchup, but his recent performances have solidified him as a must-start QB in fantasy lineups moving forward. Deshaun Watson (Cleveland Browns) at Washington Commanders The Commanders have been a goldmine for opposing quarterbacks, allowing the most fantasy points to the position. Watson has underwhelmed in three of his four outings this year, failing to surpass 15.4 fantasy points in those contests, including a low 14.2 points against Las Vegas in Week 4. However, Week 5 presents a juicy opportunity against Washington, where quarterbacks are averaging 25.8 fantasy points per game. If the Browns can keep Watson upright—he’s been sacked 19 times already—he could be a sneaky starter in one-QB leagues. Sit ‘Em Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. New Orleans Saints Mahomes has been struggling from a fantasy perspective, surpassing 20 points just once in his last nine regular-season games. You’d have to go back to Week 7 of last season to find the last time he hit 25 fantasy points. Now, with Rashee Rice out, his top receiver, it’s hard to trust Mahomes in one-QB leagues. Despite his incredible talent, he seems more focused on winning than padding stats, and the Saints have been tough on opposing QBs, allowing no more than 15.2 fantasy points in a game this season. Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets) at Minnesota Vikings What year is this that I am recommending to sit Mahomes AND Rodgers? Rodgers has only posted one top-10 fantasy finish in the past three seasons. This week, he faces a Vikings’ defense that ranks sixth in the NFL, allowing just 4.4 adjusted net yards per pass attempt. On top of that, Rodgers is dealing with a knee injury and was limited in practice. It’s hard to recommend starting him in this tough matchup. Running Backs Start ‘Em Najee Harris (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Dallas Cowboys Harris disappointed last week, managing 73 scoreless yards in a loss to the Colts. But don’t overlook his high usage rates. He logged a season-high 69% snap rate, ran routes on 62% of passing plays, claimed 65% of the team’s RB carries, and secured a 17.6% target share—also a season high. With Jaylen Warren and Cordarrelle Patterson potentially sidelined for Week 5, Harris is primed for another heavy workload against a Cowboys defense that had been vulnerable to the run before facing the Giants last week. Jerome Ford (Cleveland Browns) at Washington Commanders Jerome Ford has quietly tied Alvin Kamara for third-most targets among running backs, making him a reliable fantasy option. He’s posted double-digit fantasy points in all but one game, twice surpassing the 15-point mark. This week, Ford faces a Commanders’ defense that has allowed explosive runs (10+ yards) on 22% of opposing rushes, the highest in the league. With such a favorable matchup, Ford has the potential to put up a huge game. Sit ‘Em Zack Moss (Cincinnati Bengals) vs. Baltimore Ravens Moss came through for fantasy managers last week, but there are red flags. He split carries with Chase Brown and even saw Brown take over goal-line duties. To make matters worse, the Bengals face the Ravens in Week 5, a defense that’s been stellar against the run. Baltimore has allowed the fewest rushing yards to RBs this season and hasn’t given up an explosive run in four games. Avoid Moss if you can. Rico Dowdle (Dallas Cowboys) at Pittsburgh Steelers Dowdle had his best performance of the year in Week 4, putting up 13.1 PPR points. While he should be rostered, especially if he takes over more of the Cowboys’ backfield, Week 5 isn’t the time to start him. The Steelers have been stingy against running backs, allowing the second-fewest fantasy points to the position and only one touchdown to RBs all season. Subsequently, Dowdle is a risky flex option at best. Wide Receivers Start ‘Em Dontayvion Wicks (Green Bay Packers) at Los Angeles Rams I’ve been high on Wicks since the offseason, and he’s delivered on a per-route basis in his first 2 NFL seasons. With Christian Watson out, Wicks is set to see a significant increase in snaps. The Packers face the Rams this week, whose defense ranks 27th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to wide receivers. Wicks will be running most of their routes on the outside, where the Rams have struggled the most. Terry McLaurin (Washington Commanders) vs. Cleveland Browns McLaurin has amassed 50.1 fantasy points this season, placing him 25th among wide receivers. The Browns, McLaurin’s Week 5 opponents, have the eighth-lowest team coverage grade this season, even though they’ve been solid in coverage for much of 2023. Therefore, McLaurin could exploit this weakness if the game script favors Washington’s passing attack. Sit ‘Em Jaylen Waddle (Miami Dolphins) at New England Patriots Waddle has been nearly invisible in the Dolphins’ offense since Tua Tagovailoa went down with an injury. Over the past two weeks, he’s managed just 8 catches for 62 yards. With Miami likely to lean on their running game against the Patriots’ shaky run defense, Waddle could see another low-target day. Therefore, he’s not a must-start this