NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Buffalo vs Denver – TWO Players To Target
NFL Playoffs Divisional Round: Buffalo vs Denver – TWO Players To Target
Written by Frank Taddeo @RespectedMoney on X
NFL Divisional playoff action gets under way on Saturday with a double-header of action offering a plethora of investment opportunities.
Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Wild Card Weekend up +13.12 units on the year!
Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos
When: Saturday, January 17 at 4:30 pm ET
Moneyline: Bills +100 | Broncos -120
Spread: Bills +1 (-110) | Broncos -1 (-110)
Total: 45.5 (-110)
Odds courtesy of Circa Sports
The Bills (13-5) snapped the Jaguars eight-game winning streak last week in the Wild Card round and will now head into Mile High looking to knock off Bo Nix and the No. 1 seed Broncos.
The Bills, who are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS over their last seven games, will take on a Denver squad that is 9-1 SU and 5-5 ATS over their last 10. Both squads have been a financial drain for sports bettors owning sub .500 ATS records – BUF (8-10), DEN (8-9) overall on the season.
Top Player Props
WR Pat Bryant Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (BetMGM)
Bryant has quietly become an integral part of the Broncos offense down the stretch, earning the trust of Bo Nix and the Denver coaching staff. Over his last five games, the rookie wideout owns the second-highest snap share (60.6%) on the club, moving well ahead of Troy Franklin (36.8%).
Bryant has surpassed his base of 30.5 in 8 consecutive games (31, 42, 32, 42, 82, 43, 20, 40), which results in solid investment to also ladder his ALT receiving yard market of 40+ (+126) for an additional half unit – a number he has cleared in 5 of his last 8 (62.5%).
For an additional half unit, we will target his ALT receptions of 4+ at odds of +135. Oddsmakers have set the former Illinois standout base reception total at 3+ with prohibitive juice of -176 which is a hard pass. Instead we climb his ladder just one rung to 4+, a line he has reached in four of his last five games on the strength of 6.6 targets per game.
QB Josh Allen Over 252.5 Pass + Rush Yards (FanDuel)
Allen was sensational last week in the Bills’ upset win over Jacksonville in the Wild Card round. The star signal-caller, who combined for 303 yards last week, eclipsed this line in 10 of 16 regular season games (62.5%).
With Buffalo limited in terms of true game-changers outside of RB James Cook, my model projects Allen putting the offense on his back yet again in this matchup.
The four-time Pro Bowl QB has averaged 50.1 rushing yards per game in 14 career postseason games, while averaging 259.4 passing yards in those contests.
With a combined average of 309.5 passing + rushing yards per playoff appearance, it results in the need to invest in his ALT markets of 270+ at odds of +123 as well as 275+ at odds of +148 for a half unit each. He has cleared 270+ in 9 games while surpassing 275+ in 8 games overall this season.
Check Back all week as we continue to roll out of top Vegas vs Fulltime Projection targets to help increase your bankroll!
Vegas vs FullTime YTD: 68-91 (+13.12 UNITS) 📈
