Week 11 Vegas vs FullTime: +EV TD Props | FullTime Fantasy
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 11
Up +12.47 units YTD — Targeting 5 plus-money TD scorers
Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X
Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into Week 11 up +12.47 units on the year.
The experts in the desert are projecting low-scoring games this week with no games owning a total in the 50’s. While fantasy matchups could find low scoring head-2-head matchups, our models still believe there are several players who are offering exploitable value.
Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver waiver.
FullTime Fantasy scored big in Week 6 after combining our award-winning winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41!
Let’s take a deeper dive into the best plus-dds Anytime-Touchdown options, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections!
Top Values By The Projections
WR Jaylen Waddle +105 (Ceasars)
Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%)
Ranking 11th in Air Yards (867), our projections have Waddle eclipsing the 100-yard receiving plateau in the NFL’s first-ever regular-season game in Spain. Waddle, who ranks as the overall WR11 in fantasy football in PPR formats, finds a favorable matchup in Week 11 against a struggling Commanders defense that has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last two games. Waddle, who owns a strong 22.5% Target Share, has scored in two of his last three games.
Waddle projected for 100+ yds in Spain
— Vikings Fan Page (@vikingzfanpage) November 15, 2025
WR Justin Jefferson +120 (BetMGM)
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Jefferson, who has disappointingly only scored two touchdowns this season, said this week he needs to get back into “savage mode”. When a player of this magnitude makes this kind of statement, we need to listen. On Sunday, Jettas finds a favorable matchup against a Bears defense allowing an average of 10.6 receptions and 160 yards per game and 13 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Jefferson, who ranks 1st in Deep Targets (18), 2nd in Snap Share (96.1%), 5th in Targets (84), 5th in Air Yards (991) should draw plenty of volume and red-zone looks from JJ McCarthy in the NFC North clash with Chicago.
Jefferson: “I need to get back into savage mode”
— PFF (@PFF) November 13, 2025
WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba +135 (DraftKings)
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
The NFC West tilt between the Rams and Seahawks has drawn early sharp money on the over, driving the total up from 47.5 to 49. Los Angeles’ secondary has been stout against the pass, surrendering only 6 touchdowns in 9 games against opposing wide receivers. However, we can simply not ignore the output of JSN this season. Fantasy Football’s overall WR1, who leads the NFL in receiving yards (1,041), has scored a touchdown in 4 of his last 5 games. JSN, who ranks 1st in Target Share (38.8%), 1st in Air Yards (1,091), and 1st in Deep Targets (18), is a player to target in the late window, as he looks to continue his quest for a record-breaking season.
Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory
TE Oronde Gadsden II +220 (Bet365)
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Gadsden, who ranks as the overall TE2 in PPR formats since Week 6, gave all fantasy managers a scare when he was forced to leave last week’s showdown with the Steelers. Thankfully, the emerging rookie play-maker only suffered a quad bruise and will be in the lineup for Week 11 against Jacksonville. Gadsden, who owns a solid 15.1% Target Share, quietly ranks 4th in Red Zone Targets (11) draws a favorable matchup against a Jaguars defense that has allowed 6 touchdowns to opposing tight ends over the last three games. Gadsden lands as our top moonshot in Week 11, in a rebound spot.
WR Tyler Allgeier +230 (Bet365)
Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%)
Fantasy managers who own shares of Bijan Robinson will not be happy with this Moonshot investment. Despite leading the Falcons in rushing yards (679), and ranking as Fantasy Football’s overall RB5, Robinson does not lead his team in rushing touchdowns. That distinction quietly belongs to backup Tyler Allgeier who has posted 6 rushing scores, while Robinson has only added two on the ground. In Week 11, Allgeier who has scored three TDs over his last three games, will now face a Carolina team that is allowing 4.8 yards per rush to opposing RB’s this season. A deeper dive also reveals that Allgeier thrives playing against his NFC South foe, scoring 4 TDs in 7 career games against the Panthers.
Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections:
🔥🔥Overall YTD: 40-55 (+12.47 UNITS) 📈
