TNF Respected Money Breakdown: Jets vs Patriots (Week 11)
Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Jets vs Patriots
Week 11 TNF: Jets (2-7) visit AFC East-leading Patriots (8-2). Sharp money on the Under.
Written by Frank Taddeo — @RespectedMoney on X
Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season kicks off on Thursday Night featuring a tilt between the Jets (2-7) on a two-game winning streak taking on Drake Maye and the AFC East leading Patriots (8-2).
The oddsmakers have New England listed as 13-point home favorites with the total sitting at 43. Despite winning 8 of the last 10 meetings against New York, the Patriots have burned bettors posting a dismal 3-7 ATS mark over that stretch.
Dating back to 2022, the series has been lower scoring than the experts in the desert have predicted with the Under cashing in 5 of the last 6 contests, averaging only 28.5 points. The total, which opened at 45, has drawn sharp action dropping the line two full points (43).
Week 6: $26,331.41 profit via FullTime + @RespectedMoney
YTD: 🔥🔥 40-52 (+15.47 UNITS) 📈
In a less than attractive game, where the steam is heavily on the Under, let’s keep the risk low and target three plus-odds investments!
TOP PLAYS
WR Stefon Diggs Anytime Touchdown (+135 – BETMGM)
Diggs, the overall WR19 in PPR, is Maye’s clear top target: 61 targets, 50 rec, 554 yds. Ranks 11th in Red Zone Targets (10) and has scored in 3 straight games. Our projections: 75% TD probability vs Jets secondary post-Sauce Gardner.
TE Hunter Henry Anytime Touchdown (+165 – BETMGM)
Fantasy’s TE15 in PPR draws a Jets defense allowing 7 TDs to TEs. Our projections: 75% TD. Ranks 5th in Air Yards (405), 7th in RZ Targets (9). All 4 TDs this year at home. Austin Hooper likely out (concussion).
RB Breece Hall Over 2.5 Receptions (+118 – FanDuel)
RB13 in PPR, tied for 13th in RB targets (31). 2+ rec in 7 of 9 games. Garrett Wilson out → more dump-offs. Our projections: 4 receptions. Jets likely trailing → pass-heavy script. 10 RBs already hit 3+ vs NE.
