On the Mark: Week 6 NFL O/U Prop Picks

Let’s dive into the Week 6 edition of the “On the Mark” premium series here on FullTime Fantasy, which features four pass catchers set up for prime production.

Written by Mark Deming, former #1 ranked player in the world

Let’s dive right in!

Xavier Worthy Over 5.5 Receptions (+125)
With one of the week’s highest point totals on the board set at 52.5, combined with a WR8 ranking in FullTime Fantasy’s overall projections for the Sunday slate, this former Texas standout jumps out as a must-start in every lineup in Week 6. After averaging 8.5 targets per game in Weeks 4 and 5, clearing the 5.5 reception mark should be no issue for Patrick Mahomes’ top wideout, thanks to featuring consistent volume. The Lions’ defense, which ranks 11th in targets (93) allowed to wide receivers, won’t find it easy slowing him down under the primetime lights at Arrowhead.

Tucker Kraft Over 4.5 Receptions (+135)
Kraft stands atop the FullTime projections as the top rated tight end on Sunday. Since Week 2, the emerging talent is averaging 4.7 receptions per game, making an investment in over 4.5 receptions quite attainable in a matchup that the experts in the desert are predicting to high scoring. Facing a struggling Cincinnati defense that has allowed the 2nd most targets (49) to tight ends through the early portion of the season makes this a wise investment at healthy plus-odds.

George Pickens Over 5.5 Receptions (+145)
Pickens sits as the overall WR6 in PPR formats thanks to ranking 2nd in Routes Run (192), 2nd in Red Zone Targets (9), 13th in Air Yards (461) and 17th in overall Targets (37). Tied for 2nd in receiving touchdowns (5), there is no doubt that Dak Prescott will once again heavily look in the direction of Dallas’ top wideout with Cee Dee Lamb out of the lineup. Thus far this season, Travis Hunter, Stefon Diggs and Jaylen Waddle have cleared this demand against Carolina — expect Pickens to become the 4th wideout to surpass this projection against the Panthers defense.

Zay Flowers Over 5.5 Receptions (+120)
Flowers ranks ahead of Emeka Egbuka, Brian Thomas Jr, Ja’Marr, Chase, and DK Metcalf in FullTime’s premium data projections in Week 6. Listed to haul in seven receptions, surpassing the 5.5 demand at plus-odds, stands out as a wise investment. The Rams, who have allowed the 8th most targets (101) to opposing wide receivers on the year, have allowed three opposing wideouts (DeVonta Smith, 8; A.J. Brown, 6; and Kendrick Bourne, 10) to eclipse this mark over the last three games.

EDITORS NOTE: Per several respected sources late Saturday night, Flowers could now be “limited” versus Rams due to a shoulder injury.

As always, we will be backing these recommendations in the form of a Round Robin. As you can see in the attached image, unlike other forms of an investment, this is not an all-or-nothing play. In fact, this is a solid form of bankroll protection, simply due to offering lucrative returns in the face of one of the players underperforming and failing to reach the desired projections.