Thursday Night Football Respected Money Breakdown: Eagles vs Giants

Week 6 of the 2025 season kicks off on Thursday Night with an NFC East battle between Jalen Hurts and the Eagles (4-1) and Jaxson Dart and the Giants (1-4).

Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X

TOP PLAYS

RB Saquon Barkley – Over 2.5 Receptions (+103)

Barkley has only rushed for 30, 43 and 46 yards on the ground over the last three weeks against the Broncos, Buccaneers and Rams, respectively. After three straight brutal matchups he now gets to face his former club, who are allowing a whopping 5.6 yards per rush to opposing RBs through five games. A deeper dive reveals that three opposing backs have surpassed this demand against the Giants through five weeks: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (82 yards), Javonte Williams (97 yards) and Omarion Hampton (128 yards). We also can not forget the revenge motivation here for Barkley, who torched Big Blue for 176 yards on the ground last season.

However, instead we will pivot and target his receptions market at plus-odds. At a total of 2.5 catches at +103, the value is there investing in a line he has surpassed in four of five games this season. A deeper dive reveals that four RBs have surpassed this demand against the Giants this season: (Ekeler, 3; J. Williams, 7; O. Hampton, 5 and Kamara 4). Expect Barkley to become the 5th player at plus-odds.

WR – A.J. Brown Over 4.5 Receptions (-118)

Since only getting one target in Week 1 against the Cowboys, Brown has witnessed strong target volume seeing 8-plus targets in four straight games. The Eagles star WR1 has eclipsed this line in three of five games and we know Hurts will be looking his way in prime time against a New York defense surrendering 14.8 receptions per game to opposing wide receivers. A deeper dive reveals that seven wideouts have eclipsed this projection against the Giants secondary this season: (Samuel, 7; Pickens, 5; Lamb, 9; T. Thornton, 5; Q. Johnston, 8, K. Allen, 5 and Olave 7.)

RB – Cam Skattebo Over 2.5 Receptions (+120) / Over 13.5 Rec Yds (-104)

Fresh off hauling in six of seven targets for 45 yards against the Saints, the Giants’ talented rookie RB continues to fly under the radar in many markets. With fellow 2025 rookie draft class member Jaxson Dart under the center, expect several checkdown opportunities against the Eagles vaunted pass rush. Philadelphia has struggled to contain pass-catching backs, allowing 4.2 receptions per game to the position. Specifically, over the last two games, three RBs have surpassed this demand: (B. Irving, 5; R. White, 5 and R.J. Harvey, 3). Expect Skattebo to become the 4th player at solid plus-odds, while also investing in over 13.5 receiving yards against an Eagles’ defense that has allowed a shocking 170 total receiving yards to opposing RBs over that same two-game span.

Performance Recap

After five weeks, Vegas vs FullTime projections is up double-digit units in profits:
✅Week 1: 5-6 (+6.15 UNITS)📈
✅Week 2: 7-10 (+7.25 UNITS)📈
✅Week 3: 4-1 (+4.3 UNITS)📈
Week 4: 3-6 (-1.95 UNITS)
Week 5: 3-6 (-2.10 UNITS)
🔥Overall YTD: 22-29 (+13.65 UNITS)📈