Vegas vs FullTime: Week 4 NFL TD Prop Picks
Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 4
Thursday Night Football fell short, but our series is up 14.7 units. Check top Week 4 NFL TD prop picks!
Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver waiver.
Let’s take a deeper dive into the best plus-money options in Week 4 of the 2025 season in comparison to our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections.
Top Values for Touchdown Prop Bets
WR Nico Collins +110
Fulltime Projection: 1.0 (100%)
After cashing for us in Week’s 2 and 3, my Respected Money model projections say it is time to invest in a triple-pop. Despite disappointingly ranking as the overall WR20 in PPR formats, Collins does strongly rank 10th in target share (29.1%) and 18th in air yards (262).
Respected Money Note: 6 of his 7 TDs (85.7%) came at home last season But wait…. a deeper dive reveals that 14 of his last 16 TDs (87.5%) over the last two seasons have come at NRG Stadium!
WR Amon-Ra St. Brown +110
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Respected Money model projections strongly indicate supporting Jared Goff’s top passing target, in Week 4 at home against Cleveland. ASB, who is tied for the league lead in receiving touchdowns (4), impressively ranks 5th among all wideouts in First Read Targets (22). When the Lions get in the red-zone ASB gets the volume scoring 38 total touchdowns in his 69 career regular season games (55%).
Respected Money Note: Dating back to last season, ASB has scored an eye-popping 8 touchdowns in his last 10 home games (80%) at Ford Field.
WR Rome Odunze +135
Fulltime Projection: 1.0 (75%)
Odunze cashed for us in Week 4 and we are back in support of the overall WR4 in FFWC Main Event high stakes formats for a second consecutive week. Through three weeks Odunze leads the Bears with a staggering 94.7% snap percentage, which has resulted in being tied among all NFL wideouts in touchdowns (4). Ranking 8th in targets (27) and air yards (334), the talented second-year WR importantly ranks 8th in Red Zone Target Share (36.4%).
Respected Money Note: Investing at healthy plus-odds in a player who has scored in every game this season (4 total TDs) – in a matchup indoors at Allegiant Stadium – against a Raiders defense allowing an average of 14 receptions for 183.67 yards and 4 touchdowns to opposing WRs.
Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory
RB Quinshon Judkins +160
Fulltime Projection: 0.80 (80%)
Since making his NFL debut, Judkins is witnessing strong volume averaging 16 touches per game. Averaging an impressive 5.5 yards per carry, the rookie running back will now face a Lions’ defense that has allowed a rushing touchdown in all three games this season (J. Jacobs, D. Swift, D. Henry). The juice is worth the squeeze!
WR Malik Nabers +185
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Several factors indicate that Nabers is worthy of a Moonshot play: Russell Wilson has been benched and gamescript favors the Giants in full pass mode in the second half playing from behind against the high-powered Chargers. Expect rookie signal-caller Jaxon Dart to heavily target his best receiving weapon in his first NFL start under center. At near 2/1 odds, Nabers is a wise investment to add to his touchdown total (2) on Sunday afternoon.
WR Matthew Golden +240
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Golden, who witnessed his strongest volume in Week 3 (71% snap count, 2nd-most targets, 4) led to his best production this season with 9.2 PPR fantasy points. With Jayden Reed (OUT), and Tucker Kraft (elbow/knee) banged up expect Jordan Love to heavily target his emerging rookie talent against a Cowboys defense that has allowed the most Fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers – six touchdowns over the last two weeks.
Week 1-3 Performance
WK 1🏈
✅Brian Thomas Jr (+130)
✅C. Hubbard (+100)
✅J.K. Dobbins (+165)
✅Z. Charbonnet (+370)
✅I. Teslaa (+450)
WK 1: 5-6 (+6.15 units)
WK 2🏈
✅T. Higgins (+130)
✅K. Boutte (+380)
✅N. Collins (+120)
WK 2: 3-4 (+2.10 units)
WK 3🏈
✅M. Evans (+120)
✅N. Collins (+125)
✅JSN (+130)
✅R. Odunze (+155)
WK 3: 4-2 (+2.10 units)
🔥YTD: 16-21 (+14.7 UNITS)📈
