Week 8 NFL Player Props
Woof! After a blistering red-hot start to the season, Week 7 was a dumpster fire! A 1-6 record drops us to 26-22 on the season as we gear up for Week 8. We are still in the green on the season (+3.5 Units) so let’s put last week behind us and find the best-valued for FullTime Fantasy‘s Week 8 NFL Player Props for the upcoming slate of games.
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 8 NFL prop bets!
Jordan Love OVER 255.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Since returning from injury, Jordan Love has been a bit of a mixed bag—showing glimpses of brilliance and moments of struggle. He’s averaged just 222 passing yards against tougher defenses like Houston and the Rams but lit up weaker secondaries like Arizona and Minnesota with 323.5 yards per game.
This week, Love has a prime opportunity to thrive against a Jacksonville Jaguars defense that ranks 31st in passing yards allowed, giving up a generous 285 yards per game. The Jags’ defense is vulnerable, allowing a 68% completion rate while relying heavily on man coverage, something Love is poised to exploit.
With four receivers capable of creating separation, Love should have no trouble finding open targets. Plus, Jacksonville’s lack of pressure—boasting the lowest blitz rate and 7th lowest QB pressure rate in the league—means Love will have plenty of time in the pocket to carve up the field and pile on the yards. Expect a big game from J-Love!
Jameis Winston OVER 224.5 Passing Yards (-115)
It’s Jameis Winston time for the Cleveland Browns, and if we know one thing about Jameis, it’s that he’s going to air it out. He may throw a few interceptions but his confidence is tough to shake and he’s a master at living in the moment and forgetting the previous play.
Here’s the thing: Winston is going to sling it. And I’m betting he’ll throw enough to crush his passing yardage total against a Baltimore Ravens secondary that’s been abysmal.
The Ravens have allowed over 308 passing yards per game to quarterbacks, the worst in the NFL. They also rank second-worst in yards per attempt, fourth-worst in yards per completion, and ninth-worst in completion rate. They struggle to pressure quarterbacks, sitting in the bottom half of the league in blitz rate, QB pressure rate, and pass rush win rate. In fact, they’ve given up more than 370 yards to three quarterbacks and 269+ yards to six of their seven opponents.
With Cleveland’s run game in trouble and the team likely trailing, Winston will be cut loose to throw—and throw some more. Plus, after last week’s performance from Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Winston’s job is safe for this game.
Is this shaping up to be a garbage-time masterpiece? Absolutely! But hey, it’s not about how you rack up the stats. Keep an eye on live betting too. If Winston starts slow, his passing yard total could be a great bet to climb as the game goes on, especially late in the second half.
Rachaad White UNDER 12.5 Carries (-125)
At the start of the season, Rachaad White’s carry prop was set at 15.5, but after three consecutive unders, it took a nosedive to a measly 7.0 last week, only to bounce back up to 12.5 (where it was back in Week 2). What’s behind this intriguing shift? Let’s break it down!
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Injury Concerns: Rookie RB Bucky Irving missed practices on Wednesday and Thursday due to a toe issue and is uncertain for the upcoming game. If he sits out, White could find himself with an uptick in carries.
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Falcons’ Struggles: The Atlanta Falcons rank 27th in defensive rush success rate (44.7%). Historically, lead running backs have fared well against them, with a 5-1 record on the over for their carry props. This could signal a prime opportunity for White to increase his workload.
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Injuries in the Passing Game: With star wide receivers Mike Evans (hamstring) and Chris Godwin (ankle, IR) sidelined, the Buccaneers might lean more on the ground game, opening the door for White to get more carries.
But hold on—I’m not sold on this resurgence. White has only surpassed 12.5 carries once this season, which was back in Week 1. With a meager average of 3.7 yards per carry both this year and for his career, he hasn’t exactly dazzled as the lead back.
Plus, with No. 3 RB Sean Tucker recently showing promise—racking up 19 carries for 165 yards, a touchdown, 4 receptions for 65 yards, and another touchdown—he could easily step into Irving’s role if needed, keeping White’s opportunities in check. So, while there’s some buzz about his carry prop, it’s worth being cautious! Also, the Bucs could fall behind against a solid Falcons squad, particularly without their top two playmakers, which means Baker Mayfield could be slinging the ball in the second half, forcing the Bucs to abandon the running game. Take the Under.
Kareem Hunt OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The headline for the Kansas City Chiefs this week might be the blockbuster acquisition of DeAndre Hopkins, but let’s not forget what this team thrives on: pounding the ball and locking down on defense. And that means one thing—Kareem Hunt is set for another monster day against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Hunt has smashed this rushing total in all three of his games this season, averaging a solid 83 yards per game. And here’s the kicker—he’s logged 63 carries (third-most in the league since Week 4) despite having a bye week in the mix. The man is unstoppable!
He now gets to face a Raiders defense that’s giving up 107.4 yards per game to running backs—ninth-worst in the NFL. Opposing lead backs are gashing them for almost 91 yards per game, and their seventh-highest yards-per-rush-allowed stat makes Hunt’s day look even more promising.
With the Chiefs likely controlling the game script—thanks to their elite defense shutting down a struggling Raiders offense—expect a heavy dose of Hunt in the second half. Running out the clock, protecting the lead, and piling up those yardage totals? Sounds like a recipe for success.
Javonte Williams OVER 62.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Javonte Williams has been on fire lately, and he’s about to face a tasty matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are struggling on defense, ranking a dismal 29th in both opponent rush EPA and rush success rate. They’re also handing out rushing yards like candy, allowing a whopping 162.1 yards per game!
With the Panthers in such disaray, this game could turn into a runaway victory for the Broncos quickly. If that happens, expect the Broncos to lean heavily on the run game, giving Williams even more opportunities to rack up those carries. So, buckle up—this could be a wild ride for Williams and the Broncos!
Drake London OVER 5.5 Receptions (-130)
Drake London has been feasting this season, with 62 targets, putting him tied for third in the entire league! Since Week 1, he’s been a model of consistency, snagging at least six receptions in every game.
Now, he’s up against a familiar foe—the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Just a few weeks ago, London lit them up for 12 catches on 13 targets. With that kind of recent success, there’s no reason to think he won’t have another standout performance against this defense come Sunday.
Expect him to be a go-to target once again in this favorable matchup!
Travis Kelce Under 65.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Travis Kelce is having a bit of a rough patch this season, averaging a career-low 6.8 yards per target and seeing the fewest targets per game (just 6.0) since Patrick Mahomes took the helm in 2018. Ouch!
This all adds up to a career-low average of 40.8 receiving yards per game. Even though he’s got a decent matchup against the Raiders—who rank a lowly 30th in defensive pass DVOA against tight ends (31.1%, according to FTN)—and they’ll be missing safety Marcus Epps (knee, IR), it’s still unlikely that Kelce will hit those high numbers.
With the Chiefs favored by more than a touchdown on the road, they might lean on their running game more heavily, which means fewer targets—and less yardage—for all their pass catchers, including the star tight end himself, Kelce.
