Week 3 NFL Player Props
Week 2 is in the books and Week 3 is underway as the New York Jets look to extend their winning streak against AFC East rival, the New England Patriots, in primetime on Thursday Night Football. Last week, we weren’t as profitable as in Week 1. But we still came away in the green due to our multiple units on Joe Burrow. After a 6-1 Week 1 record, we went 3-3 in Week 2 but gained 1.45 Units. We are now 9-4 (+6.3 Units) on the young season. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum heading into Week 3 of the NFL season!
Remember to always odds shop at your different sportsbooks to find the best value for these props. With that in mind, let’s get down to business and find the best Week 3 NFL prop bets!
Brock Purdy OVER 226.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Given the injuries that San Francisco’s skill players sustained, you may be scratching your head at this pick. However, Purdy averaged 267.5 passing yards per game in 2023, surpassing this total in 10 out of 16 games last season. He showcased consistency and without CMC in the lineup, the Niners may need to throw the ball more often against their divisional rivals, the Los Angeles Rams.
Purdy started the 2024 season strong, hitting the over on this bet in his first two games. He had 319 passing yards against the Minnesota Vikings and 231 passing yards against the New York Jets this season. If he can keep this up, he should smash this line fairly easily, especially in what could be a competitive game with Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey sidelined with injuries. I anticipate a lot of quick passes to Brandon Aiyuk, George Kittle, and Jauan Jennings. So long as the Rams keep this game close, Purdy should have no problem eclipsing this line.
Malik Willis UNDER 150.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Malik Willis and the Green Bay Packers head to Tennessee to face the Titans this week. Let’s be real—I’m not expecting much from the Packers’ backup quarterback.
Willis managed just 122 yards passing last week against the Colts, completing only 12 of 14 attempts. Even if the Packers decide to let him air it out more this game, don’t be shocked if he still finishes barely above double-digit completions. At the end of the day, Green Bay will lean heavily on their run game. And Willis won’t be able to do much damage through the air against this stingy Titans defense. After all, Josh Jacobs toted 31 carries last week in Green Bay’s upset victory over the Indianapolis Colts. I wouldn’t be shocked at all if they utilized a similar game plan in Week 3 if Love remains sidelined.
The Titans’ defense has been absolutely lights-out this season. They rank second in the NFL in opponent yards per pass attempt, holding teams to a minuscule 3.9 yards per throw and a completion rate of just 54.24%. Willis will struggle and despite the low line, I’m taking the Under.
Alvin Kamara OVER 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
The Philadelphia Eagles’ run defense has been a disaster this season. They’re ranked dead last in opponent yards per carry, giving up a whopping 6.4 yards per rush, and allowing an average of 157.5 rushing yards per game.
Now, they’re up against Alvin Kamara, who’s been on fire. He racked up 83 rushing yards in Week 1 and followed that with 115 yards in Week 2, averaging an impressive 5.66 yards per carry. All signs point to another huge game from Kamara in Week 3! We saw Bijan Robinson find holes fairly easily last week on Monday Night Football. I expect the Saints to employ a ground-and-pound approach to control some of the clock against Philadelphia. Take the Over.
Breece Hall Anytime Touchdown (-165)
Breece has scored a touchdown in each of his first two contests of the young season and although he’s facing a stingy New England Patriots run defense, the offense will continue to run through Hall. Yes, Braelon Allen found the end zone twice last week but Hall has seen 21 touches in each of his first matchups of the season, and we all know that volume is king.
Hall faced New England twice in his rookie campaign. The first time, he was held in check with just 18 scoreless rushing yards and a lone reception for nine yards. But that was just his third game as an NFL pro. Later in the season when the Jets faced the Patriots for a second time, Hall shredded the defense. The stud running back tallied 178 rushing yards on 37 carries and found the end zone. Additionally, he caught two passes for 12 yards.
Aaron Rodgers has been using Hall substantially in the short passing game so Hall has a chance to find the end zone not just as a rusher but also as a receiver. Last week, he hauled in a 26-yard touchdown reception where he looked more like a receiver than a running back. The kid has serious skills and great hands. Given that the Jets are heavy favorites in their first home game of the season, I like Hall’s chances of punching it into the end zone. The value could be better but I expect Hall to cook tonight.
Amari Cooper OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Cooper has had a slow start this season, with just 27 receiving yards so far. As a result, his Week 3 receiving yardage total of 46.5 may seem challenging. However, it’s important to note that Cooper faces the New York Giants this week, a potentially favorable matchup.
Despite his low yardage, Cooper has been heavily targeted, with 17 targets through the first two games, and Deshaun Watson showed signs of improvement last week. This could be a prime “get-right” opportunity for Cooper, who, though inconsistent at times throughout his career, is known for explosive performances. Given the Giants’ vulnerable defense, Cooper has a real shot at a breakout game.
Jauan Jennings OVER 42.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
The original pick here was George Kittle OVER 51.5. However, Kittle is out so we’re pivoting to San Francisco’s No. 2 pass-catcher in this game.
Jennings has nine targets so far and put up 64 yards in the season opener. With Deebo Samuel and now Kittle out, Jennings will be involved early and often.
Even better, the Rams are decimated by injuries, setting up a very fantasy-friendly game script.
1 for 1 in Week 3 after Breece found the end zone on #TNF
Kittle is out so if you want to take the Over on Jauan Jennings, that would be my next best bet!
— Matt Brandon (@MattFantasyFF) September 21, 2024
Kyle Pitts OVER 3.5 Receptions (-105)
The Atlanta Falcons face off against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, and it could be the perfect stage for Kyle Pitts to shine. The Chiefs have struggled mightily against tight ends this season. In Week 1, they let Isaiah Likely go off for nine catches and 111 yards, and in Week 2, Mike Gesicki of the Bengals snagged seven catches for 91 yards.
If the Chiefs’ defense keeps up this trend, Pitts could be in line for his biggest game of the season. Keep an eye out—Sunday night might just be a breakout for the Falcons’ star tight end!
