FullTime Fantasy

Vegas vs FullTime: Week 10 NFL Plus-Money TD Props

Vegas vs Fulltime Rankings: Top Plus-Money Anytime Touchdown Props For Week 10

Our “Vegas vs Fulltime Projections”, focusing on data analytics exclusive to FullTime premium members, heads into November up +14.87 units on the year. According to the experts in the desert, Fantasy managers need to temper expectations for high scoring games on Sunday as the Week 10 slate is projected to be low-scoring with only one game owning a total of 50-plus. While fantasy matchups could very well be a struggle this week, our models still believe there are several players who are offering exploitable value.

Written by Frank Taddeo, @RespectedMoney on X

Playing in leagues like the Fantasy Football World Championships (FFWC) that require double-flex starting options, identifying players who could explode on a weekly basis can lead to a winning formula. Every week this season, I will be taking a look at players who not only offer immense value to those looking to invest in players outside of fantasy football, but also help fantasy managers lock in on players who may be flying under-the-radar on your bench or waiver wire.

FullTime Fantasy scored big in Week 6 after combining our award-winning projections with our @RespectedMoney Vegas info winning $26,331.41!

Let’s take a deeper dive into the best Anytime-Touchdown options, by once again focusing on my Vegas Respected Money targets in conjunction with our elite-winning Fulltime Fantasy Projections!

Top Values By The Projections

WR Davante Adams -105 (Bet365)
Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%)
Adams, who ranks as the overall WR8 in fantasy football in PPR formats, finds a favorable matchup in Week 10 against a 49ers defense that has allowed five receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last four games. Adams, who is tied for the league-lead in touchdowns (8), has been red-hot over his last two games finding paydirt five times. Ranking 1st in the NFL in Red Zone Targets (20), 4th in Air Yards (869), and 16th in Target Share (26%), results in a WR our projections demand we invest in, despite just missing our plus-money target price.

WR Emeka Egbuka +110 (DraftKings)
Fulltime Projection: 1.00 (100%)
After scoring five touchdowns over his first games, Tampa Bay’s star rookie wideout has failed to score in three straight games. Coming off the bye, Egbuka finds a favorable matchup on Sunday against a Patriots defense allowing an average of 10 receptions and 133.8 yards per game and 10 receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers. Egbuka, who ranks 1st in Deep Targets (17) and 7th among all wideouts in Air Yards (843) should once again be Baker Mayfield’s top target with both Mike Evans and Chris Godwin both expected to sit once again.

WR Drake London +145 (BetMGM)
Fulltime Projection: 0.50 (50%)
The showdown between the Colts and Falcons from Germany has been assigned with an attractive 48.5-point total. Indianapolis’ secondary, which has struggled to contain opposing wideouts, surrendering an average of 14 receptions for 158.8 yards per game to the position, addressed that issue with the addition of CB Sauce Gardner from the Jets. However, despite the arrival of the star cornerback, we can simply not ignore the output of Drake London over the last month. Atlanta’s WR1, who has received a whopping 50 targets over his last four games, has turned that volume into 31 receptions for 428 yards and 5 touchdowns. Fantasy Football’s overall WR7, who ranks 4th in Target Share (33.2%) and 4th in Red Zone Targets (11), is a player to target on the International stage, as he looks to continue his torrid streak of volume and production.

Top Moonshots That Could Lead To Glory

TE Sam LaPorta +190 (Bet365)
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
LaPorta sits as the overall TE7 in fantasy football on the strength of ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 92.3% snap percentage. Being on the field at that rate has resulted in an extremely strong 19.0% Target Share, 7th in Route Participation (84.2%) and 7th in Air Yards Share (16.3%). LaPorta, who has scored in three of his last four games, should find plenty of volume in a contest with one of the highest point totals (49.5) on the board.

TE Oronde Gadsden II +200 (BetMGM)
Fulltime Projection: 0.75 (75%)
Gadsden has burst onto the fantasy scene ranking as the overall TE1 in PPR formats since Week 6, hauling in 24 receptions for 377 yards and two touchdowns. The immense talented rookie standout who owns a solid 14.7% Target Share, quietly ranks 8th in Air Yards (312) and 6th in Red Zone Targets (9) draws a favorable matchup against a Steelers defense that has allowed six touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Gadsden, who has 5+ receptions and 68+ receiving yards in four straight games should find similar production under the primetime lights of Sunday Night Football.

WR Rashid Shaheed +220 (DraftKings)
Fulltime Projection: 0.25 (25%)
With emerging rookie WR Tory Horton trending towards missing Week 10 against the Cardinals, it is imperative to invest in Sam Darnold’s newest weapon in the passing game. Rashid Shaheed, who was acquired this week from the Saints, should slot in for immediate action opposite Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Look for Darnold to take to the air against an Arizona defense that is allowing 151 receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts. Shaheed, who is one the best deep threats in the NFL, is a tremendous value at these Moonshot odds running routes for Darnold who has thrown 2+ touchdown passes in 5 of 8 games this season.

Performance Recap

Thus far, Vegas vs FullTime projections:
πŸ”₯Overall YTD: 37-49 (+14.87 UNITS)πŸ“ˆ

Points Allowed |
Player Rankings |
YTD Fantasy Points

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About Scott Atkins

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Motto: How are YOU treating life? I'm pretty chill with a wife (Erin), 2 boys Simon (now 20) & Elston (18), 2 dogs, sisters (Sophie & Agatha) and 3 cats (Willow, Albert & Griff). As VP at Sports Illustrated, I helped build out SI Fantasy /Gambling and returned to rebuild FullTime Fantasy to continue hosting the Fantasy Football World Championships. Previously I had founded the Fantasy Players Association, an industry watchdog group dedicated to trabsparenct and player advocacy. I regularly appear on ESPN Radio, SiriusXM and FNTSY. I contribute sports handicapping, dynasty rankings and NFL/NBA DFS advice and strategy on the FullTime Discord. I have several 5 figure finishes including winning a DraftKings Atlantis qualifier (valued at over $70,000) and multiple $30,000+ finishes in NFL and NBA. A long-time high-stakes competitor and ranked #50 in the Fantasy Football World Rankings, I understand and teach bankroll management. You may remember me from the Red vs Blue high stakes fantasy Podcast. I was also featured as a Dynasty "Greats of the Game" by DLF and FBG. I've played high stakes since it's inception and have enjoyed Top 10 finishes in both NFFC and FFPC as well as an RTSports Overall Championship. link: https://dynastyleaguefootball.com/2015/05/06/greats-of-the-game-scott-atkins/ link: http://subscribers.footballguys.com/2012/12interview_scottatkins.php