Week 7 DraftKings DFS Breakdown

Main Slate Only — Sunday Games

Week 7 shapes up as a fascinating DFS slate defined by elite ceiling quarterbacks (Jayden Daniels, Patrick Mahomes), workhorse running backs (Jonathan Taylor, Breece Hall), and several concentrated offensive environments worth stacking. With ownership expected to condense around Daniels and Taylor, sharp builds this week will balance those chalky cores with leverage plays in high-total matchups — namely Colts–Chargers and Chiefs–Raiders.

Written by Adam Krautwurst

Quarterback Breakdown

Top Ceiling: Jayden Daniels at DAL

Daniels offers both the safest floor and highest ceiling on the slate. He’s logged 17+ DraftKings points in every start, adds 50+ rushing yards per game, and now faces a Dallas defense giving up the most fantasy points per game to QBs (286.5 passing yards allowed). This game projects for the highest total (54.5) on the slate, and Daniels matches nine Pro Trends — no one else exceeds five. His dual-threat skillset keeps him viable even if Washington plays from behind.

DFS Usage: Core cash QB; stack with a Cowboys bringback (Javonte Williams or Jake Ferguson).

Top Value: Caleb Williams vs. NO

Williams sits at just $5.8K and brings the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus. He’s topped 18 DK points in four of five games and faces a Saints defense allowing the 6th-most QB fantasy points. The Bears’ offense runs fast-paced under Ben Johnson, and Williams’ rushing upside (two rushing TDs) adds safety.

DFS Usage: Elite value pivot for balanced builds; ideal pairing with mid-range stacks (Chris Olave or Breece Hall).

Tournament Pivots

Patrick Mahomes vs. LV – Highest team total (28.5); can double-stack with Rice/Worthy for ceiling.
Daniel Jones at LAC – Quietly averaging 20 DK points per game; rushing + Taylor stack correlation makes him elite leverage off Daniels chalk.

Running Backs

Top Ceiling: Jonathan Taylor at LAC

Taylor is the slate’s most expensive player — and for good reason. He’s averaging 125 scrimmage yards and 1.3 TDs per game, with 8 scores in six contests. The Chargers allow 124 rushing yards per game and just got gashed by Achane. Taylor’s dual-role usage (4+ targets in 4 straight games) makes him the ideal spend-up in both cash and GPPs.

DFS Usage: Core anchor in all builds; stack with Daniel Jones or Tyler Warren for full Colts exposure.

Top Value: Breece Hall vs. CAR

Hall projects as the #1 Plus/Minus RB this week. Even without touchdowns, he’s cleared 16+ DK points three times, and with the Jets’ WR injuries, expect target volume to spike. Carolina’s front is improved but still exploitable — Hall’s big-play rate (14+ yards on 8% of carries) gives him week-winning upside.

DFS Usage: Cash lock at mid-range salary; strong one-off in GPPs.

Leverage & GPP Plays

Javonte Williams vs. WAS – Underpriced for his red-zone role; solid leverage off Breece Hall chalk.
Travis Etienne – Lower-owned pivot from Taylor; matchup-proof with passing work.
Quinshon Judkins – Cheap tournament dart with breakout potential.

Wide Receivers

Top Ceiling: Xavier Worthy vs. LV

Mahomes’ explosive rookie weapon has posted 10+ DK points in three straight with a 21% target share. Worthy’s ability to win deep makes him perfect leverage off chalky Rashee Rice. He’s an ideal GPP pairing with Mahomes in a 28.5-implied total game.

Top Value: Chris Olave vs. CHI

Olave continues to dominate target volume (54 targets, 33 catches). He’s due for positive regression on deep looks and faces a Bears defense allowing multiple WR TDs in 4 of 6 games. Indoors in the Superdome, his floor and ceiling both grade elite.

Mid-Range and Contrarian Targets

Rashee Rice – Massive ownership expected; fine in cash, fade in GPPs.
Quentin Johnston – High-upside bringback in Colts stacks; deep ADOT, strong leverage.
Michael Pittman Jr. – Double-stack partner for Daniel Jones; elite consistency.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 30%+ target share since Darnold’s start; low ownership.

Tight Ends

Top Ceiling: Tyler Warren vs. ARI

Emerging as the Colts’ #1 target, Warren owns a 23% target share and back-to-back TDs. His athleticism and red-zone usage give him standalone viability or as part of the Daniel Jones stack.

Top Value: Michael Mayer vs. KC

Ran a route on 80% of dropbacks and led the Raiders in targets last week. If Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers sit, Mayer becomes the top salary-saving TE on DK.

Week 7 Stack Targets

1️⃣ Commanders–Cowboys
Jayden Daniels + Javonte Williams (bring back Jake Ferguson)
Highest total on slate; Daniels rushing + Cowboys correlation creates a dual-floor stack.

2️⃣ Chiefs–Raiders
Patrick Mahomes + Rashee Rice + Xavier Worthy (bring back Michael Mayer)
Highest implied total (28.5); low-owned combo outside Rice chalk.

3️⃣ Colts–Chargers
Daniel Jones + Jonathan Taylor + Tyler Warren (bring back Quentin Johnston)
Dome environment; highly correlated volume between QB/RB/TE; Johnston offers ceiling return.

4️⃣ Value Stack
Caleb Williams + Chris Olave + Breece Hall
Balanced salary build with solid correlation and contrarian ownership.

Cash Lineup (High-Floor Build)

QB: Jayden Daniels (WAS @ DAL)
RB: Jonathan Taylor (IND @ LAC)
RB: Breece Hall (CAR @ NYJ)
WR: Chris Olave (NO @ CHI)
WR: Rashee Rice (LV @ KC)
WR: Michael Pittman Jr. (IND @ LAC)
TE: Tyler Warren (ARI @ IND)
FLEX: Elic Ayomanor (NE @ TEN)
DST: Giants (@ DEN)

Rationale: This lineup maximizes floor via volume and safety. Daniels is the premier dual-threat QB in the slate’s highest-total game, while Taylor and Hall combine for 45-plus expected touches. Olave, Pittman, and Rice each project for double-digit targets, and Warren is a cheap, high-route-share TE.

Final Thoughts

Week 7 offers two main paths: ride the Daniels/Taylor chalk for safety, or pivot into Colts–Chargers and Chiefs–Raiders stacks to chase ceiling. With compressed ownership and several concentrated offenses, correlation is your friend. Anchor your builds around elite usage (Taylor, Hall, Olave) and differentiate with stacking leverage (Worthy, Johnston, Warren). Stay tuned to late-breaking injury updates — especially at WR (Lamb, Meyers, McLaurin) — which could shift optimal roster construction by Sunday morning.